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Why persistent high inflation impedes growth? An empirical assessment of threshold level of inflation for India

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  • Sitikantha Pattanaik
  • G.V. Nadhanael

Abstract

In the policy debate on growth--inflation trade-off and the role of monetary policy in managing the trade-off in the short-run, theoretical and empirical research suggests the presence of a country specific threshold level of inflation. Empirical findings of this paper suggest that for India the threshold level of inflation could be around 6%. The inflation target for monetary policy may have to be somewhat lower than the growth maximizing threshold, since any positive inflation could be a risk to inclusive and sustainable growth objective.

Suggested Citation

  • Sitikantha Pattanaik & G.V. Nadhanael, 2013. "Why persistent high inflation impedes growth? An empirical assessment of threshold level of inflation for India," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 204-220, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:macfem:v:6:y:2013:i:2:p:204-220
    DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2012.735248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ruth Judson & Athanasios Orphanides, 1999. "Inflation, Volatility and Growth," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(1), pages 117-138, April.
    2. Shruti Tripathi & Ashima Goyal, 2011. "Relative prices, the price level and inflation: Effects of asymmetric and sticky adjustment," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2011-026, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    3. Gregory D. Hess & Charles S. Morris, 1996. "The long-run costs of moderate inflation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 81(Q II), pages 71-88.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sovik Mukherjee, 2019. "Non-performing assets of banks and economicgrowth vinculum in the era of globalization: The Indian experience," International Journal of Business Ecosystem & Strategy (2687-2293), Bussecon International Academy, vol. 1(3), pages 19-31, July.
    2. Goyal, Ashima & Ray, Sritama, 2025. "Reducing supply shock-led inflation in emerging markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 2278-2301.
    3. Goyal, Ashima & Tripathi, Shruti, 2015. "Separating shocks from cyclicality in Indian aggregate supply," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 93-103.
    4. Barendra Kumar Bhoi & Gulapsha Tabasum, 2024. "Inflation-Growth Relationship: New Evidence for India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 22(1), pages 223-239, March.
    5. Bicchal, Motilal, 2022. "Central bank credibility and its effect on stabilization," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 73-94.
    6. Kushal Banik Chowdhury & Kaustav Kanti Sarkar & Srikanta Kundu, 2021. "Nonlinear relationships between inflation, output growth and uncertainty in India: New evidence from a bivariate threshold model," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 469-493, July.
    7. Ashima Goyal, 2016. "Abductive reasoning in macroeconomics," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2016-022, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    8. Asaduzzaman, Md, 2021. "Relationship between threshold level of inflation and economic growth in Bangladesh- a multivariate quadratic regression analysis," MPRA Paper 110333, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Feb 2021.
    9. Kapur, Muneesh & Behera, Harendra, 2012. "Monetary Transmission Mechanism in India: A Quarterly Model," MPRA Paper 70631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Muneesh Kapur & Michael Debabrata Patra, 2012. "Alternative Monetary Policy Rules for India," IMF Working Papers 2012/118, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2014. "Does Inflation Slow Long-Run Growth in India?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1440, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    12. Mihir Dash & Gopi Pachetas, 2020. "Impact of macroeconomic factors on inflation: An assessment on indian economy by using vector auto-regressive modeling," International Journal of Decision Sciences & Applications (2528-956X), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 1(1), pages 23-28, December.

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