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Exchange rates and US direct investment into Latin America

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  • Isabel Ruiz
  • Susan Pozo

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of exchange rate levels and exchange rate uncertainty on US foreign direct investment into Latin America. By decomposing exchange rate uncertainty into temporary (short-run) and permanent (long-run) components, we further explore whether the nature of uncertainty matters. Our empirical findings support the view that exchange rate uncertainty has a negative impact on US investment flows into Latin America. Moreover, it is the persistency in uncertainty rather than transitory uncertainty that mostly deters foreign investment. In contrast, investors do not appear to be affected by discrete movements in exchange rate levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Isabel Ruiz & Susan Pozo, 2008. "Exchange rates and US direct investment into Latin America," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 411-438.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:17:y:2008:i:3:p:411-438
    DOI: 10.1080/09638190802137083
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    1. Engle, Robert F. & White (the late), Halbert (ed.), 1999. "Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting: Festschrift in Honour of Clive W. J. Granger," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198296836.
    2. -, 2005. "Foreign Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean 2004," La Inversión Extranjera Directa en América Latina y el Caribe, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1129 edited by Eclac, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Diego Escobari & Diego E. Vacaflores, 2015. "Expectations and the Dynamic Feedback between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 121-136, March.
    2. Osei-Fosu & Baba Insah Anthony & Ofori-Boateng Kenneth, 2015. "Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: The Ghanaian Experience," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 4(6), pages 336-344.
    3. Blanco, Luisa R., 2012. "The Spatial Interdependence of FDI in Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(7), pages 1337-1351.
    4. Maroula Khraiche & Jeffrey Gaudette, 2013. "FDI, Exchange Rate Volatility and Financial Development: Regional Differences In Emerging Economies," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 3143-3156.
    5. Zainab Jehan & Azooba Hamid, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and capital inflows: role of financial development," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 189-203, December.

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