Balance-of-payment constrained growth: the case of China, 1979-2002
The aim of this study is to empirically test the validity of Thirlwall's Law in China during the reform period of 1979-2002. This study finds: (1) that for 1979-2002, the Chinese economy has grown on average as fast as Thirlwall's Law predicts - the average actual growth rate and predicted growth rate were, respectively, 9.25 and 8.55, which are statistically identical; (2) that the growth of GDP and of exports are cointegrated. Both (1) and (2) provide strong support for Thirlwall's Law in China during the reform period after 1978. The supportive result of Thirlwall's Law implies the relevance of a demand-side approach to the economic growth in China. For time series analyses, a bounds test approach is adopted.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Volume (Year): 23 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://www.tandfonline.com/CIRA20|
|Order Information:||Web: http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/CIRA20|