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An Empirical Analysis of The Effects of Government Spending on Capital Investment: Evidence from O.E.C.D. Countries

  • D. Giannaros
  • B. Kolluri
  • M. Panik

This paper focuses on the possible “direct” effect in increased government size on fixed capital formation. That is, we hypothesize that as government increases its consumption as percentage of GDP, investors modify their investment plans accordingly. It is our contention that the direct effect of government size on fixed capital investment manifest themselves through a downward shift in the investment schedule. To test this hypothesis, we estimate an aggregate investment function for eighteen O.E.C.D. countries for the period 1960-1994. Our findings suggest a negative relationship between government size and fixed capital investment. [ E22, E62]

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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal International Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 13 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 45-55

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Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:13:y:1999:i:1:p:45-55
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  1. Barro, Robert J, 1981. "Output Effects of Government Purchases," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(6), pages 1086-1121, December.
  2. Kormendi, Roger C, 1983. "Government Debt, Government Spending, and Private Sector Behavior," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(5), pages 994-1010, December.
  3. Feldstein, Martin, 1982. "Government deficits and aggregate demand," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20.
  4. Barth, James R & Russek, Frank S & Wang, George H K, 1986. "A Time Series Analysis of the Relationship between the Capital Stock and Federal Debt: A Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 18(4), pages 527-38, November.
  5. Jorgenson, Dale W, 1971. "Econometric Studies of Investment Behavior: A Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 1111-47, December.
  6. Michael W. Keran, 1970. "Monetary and fiscal influences on economic activity : the foreign experience," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Feb, pages 16-28.
  7. Eisner, Robert & Pieper, Paul J, 1986. "A New View of the Federal Debt and Budget Deficits: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(5), pages 1156-57, December.
  8. Kochin, Levis A, 1974. "Are Future Taxes Anticipated by Consumers? Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 6(3), pages 385-94, August.
  9. Kolluri, Bharat R. & Giannaros, Demetrios S., 1987. "Budget deficits and short-term real interest rate forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 109-109.
  10. Leonall C. Andersen & Jerry L. Jordan, 1968. "Monetary and fiscal actions: a test of their relative importance in economic stabilization," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Nov, pages 11-23.
  11. Modigliani, Franco & Sterling, Arlie, 1986. "Government Debt, Government Spending and Private Sector Behavior: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(5), pages 1168-79, December.
  12. Cebula, Richard, 1977. "Crowding Out: An Empirical Note," MPRA Paper 54515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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