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A Hybrid Model for Pricing and Hedging of Long-dated Bonds

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  • Jan Baldeaux
  • Fung
  • Katja Ignatieva
  • Eckhard Platen

Abstract

Long-dated fixed income securities play an important role in asset-liability management, in life insurance and in annuity businesses. This paper applies the benchmark approach, where the growth optimal portfolio (GOP) is employed as numéraire together with the real-world probability measure for pricing and hedging of long-dated bonds. It employs a time-dependent constant elasticity of variance model for the discounted GOP and takes stochastic interest rate risk into account. This results in a hybrid framework that models the stochastic dynamics of the GOP and the short rate simultaneously. We estimate and compare a variety of continuous-time models for short-term interest rates using non-parametric kernel-based estimation. The hybrid models remain highly tractable and fit reasonably well the observed dynamics of proxies of the GOP and interest rates. Our results involve closed-form expressions for bond prices and hedge ratios. Across all models under consideration we find that the hybrid model with the 3/2 dynamics for the interest rate provides the best fit to the data with respect to lowest prices and least expensive hedges.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Baldeaux & Fung & Katja Ignatieva & Eckhard Platen, 2015. "A Hybrid Model for Pricing and Hedging of Long-dated Bonds," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 366-398, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apmtfi:v:22:y:2015:i:4:p:366-398
    DOI: 10.1080/1350486X.2015.1050119
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    Cited by:

    1. Alessandro Gnoatto & Martino Grasselli & Eckhard Platen, 2016. "A Penny Saved is a Penny Earned: Less Expensive Zero Coupon Bonds," Research Paper Series 374, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    2. Ralph Rudd & Thomas A. McWalter & Joerg Kienitz & Eckhard Platen, 2018. "Quantization Under the Real-world Measure: Fast and Accurate Valuation of Long-dated Contracts," Papers 1801.07044, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
    3. repec:wsi:afexxx:v:12:y:2017:i:02:n:s2010495217500105 is not listed on IDEAS

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