IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/reaccs/v11y2006i2d10.1007_s11142-006-9004-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The persistence of earnings and cash flows and the role of special items: Implications for the accrual anomaly

Author

Listed:
  • Patricia M. Dechow

    (University of Michigan)

  • Weili Ge

    (University of Michigan)

Abstract

We argue that high accruals are likely to be the outcome of rules with an income statement perspective, while low accruals are likely to be the outcome of rules with a balance sheet perspective, and that this has implications for the properties of earnings. Specifically, earnings persistence is affected both by the magnitude and sign of the accruals. Accruals improve the persistence of earnings relative to cash flows in high accrual firms, but reduce earnings persistence in low accrual firms. We show that the low persistence of earnings in low accrual firms is primarily driven by special items. We then show that special item-low accrual firms have higher future stock returns than other low accrual firms. This is consistent with investors misunderstanding the transitory nature of special items. Further analysis reveals that special item-low accrual firms have poor past performance and declines in investor recognition (analyst coverage and institutional holdings). Special items continue to explain future returns after controlling for these factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Patricia M. Dechow & Weili Ge, 2006. "The persistence of earnings and cash flows and the role of special items: Implications for the accrual anomaly," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 253-296, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:reaccs:v:11:y:2006:i:2:d:10.1007_s11142-006-9004-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11142-006-9004-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11142-006-9004-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11142-006-9004-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1983. "A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics: Testing Policy Ineffectiveness and Efficient-Markets Models," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number mish83-1.
    2. Richardson, Scott A. & Sloan, Richard G. & Soliman, Mark T. & Tuna, Irem, 2005. "Accrual reliability, earnings persistence and stock prices," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 437-485, September.
    3. Jeffrey T. Doyle & Russell J. Lundholm & Mark T. Soliman, 2003. "The Predictive Value of Expenses Excluded from Pro Forma Earnings," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 145-174, June.
    4. Konan Chan & Louis K. C. Chan & Narasimhan Jegadeesh & Josef Lakonishok, 2006. "Earnings Quality and Stock Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(3), pages 1041-1082, May.
    5. Kim, O & Verrecchia, Re, 1991. "Trading Volume And Price Reactions To Public Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 302-321.
    6. David Burgstahler & James Jiambalvo & Terry Shevlin, 2002. "Do Stock Prices Fully Reflect the Implications of Special Items for Future Earnings?," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 585-612, June.
    7. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. "Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July.
    8. Partha S. Mohanram, 2005. "Separating Winners from Losers among LowBook-to-Market Stocks using Financial Statement Analysis," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 133-170, September.
    9. Lakonishok, Josef & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1994. "Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1541-1578, December.
    10. Beaver, Wh, 1968. "Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6, pages 67-92.
    11. Dechow, Patricia M., 1994. "Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance : The role of accounting accruals," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 3-42, July.
    12. Elliott, JA & Hanna, JD, 1996. "Repeated accounting write-offs and the information content of earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34, pages 135-155.
    13. Charles M.C. Lee & Bhaskaran Swaminathan, 2000. "Price Momentum and Trading Volume," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(5), pages 2017-2069, October.
    14. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1983. "Introduction to "A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics: Testing Policy Ineffectiveness and Efficient-Markets Models"," NBER Chapters, in: A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics: Testing Policy Ineffectiveness and Efficient-Markets Models, pages 1-6, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Piotroski, JD, 2000. "Value investing: The use of historical financial statement information to separate winners from losers," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38, pages 1-41.
    16. Paul Hribar & Daniel W. Collins, 2002. "Errors in Estimating Accruals: Implications for Empirical Research," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 105-134, March.
    17. Francis, J & Hanna, JD & Vincent, L, 1996. "Causes and effects of discretionary asset write-offs," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34, pages 117-134.
    18. Mark T. Bradshaw & Richard G. Sloan, 2002. "GAAP versus The Street: An Empirical Assessment of Two Alternative Definitions of Earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 41-66, March.
    19. Karpoff, Jonathan M, 1986. "A Theory of Trading Volume," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(5), pages 1069-1087, December.
    20. Brad Barber & Reuven Lehavy & Maureen McNichols & Brett Trueman, 2001. "Can Investors Profit from the Prophets? Security Analyst Recommendations and Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 531-563, April.
    21. Mark T. Bradshaw & Scott A. Richardson & Richard G. Sloan, 2001. "Do Analysts and Auditors Use Information in Accruals?," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 45-74, June.
    22. Shumway, Tyler, 2001. "Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74(1), pages 101-124, January.
    23. repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:3:p:1131-1147 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Patricia M. Fairfield & Scott Whisenant & Teri Lombardi Yohn, 2003. "The Differential Persistence of Accruals and Cash Flows for Future Operating Income versus Future Profitability," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 221-243, June.
    25. Jacob K. Thomas & Huai Zhang, 2002. "Inventory Changes and Future Returns," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 163-187, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Panos N. Patatoukas, 2014. "Detecting news in aggregate accounting earnings: implications for stock market valuation," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 134-160, March.
    2. Adam Esplin & Max Hewitt & Marlene Plumlee & Teri Lombardi Yohn, 2014. "Disaggregating operating and financial activities: implications for forecasts of profitability," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 328-362, March.
    3. Kevin Ke Li, 2011. "How well do investors understand loss persistence?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 630-667, September.
    4. Theodore E. Christensen & Kenneth J. Merkley & Jennifer Wu Tucker & Shankar Venkataraman, 2011. "Do managers use earnings guidance to influence street earnings exclusions?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 501-527, September.
    5. Nerissa C. Brown & Theodore E. Christensen, 2014. "The quality of street cash flow from operations," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 913-954, June.
    6. Mohammadreza Tavakoli Baghdadabad & Girijasankar Mallik, 2025. "Breaking down value: a novel method," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 1467-1525, September.
    7. Beisland, Leif Atle & Mersland, Roy, 2013. "Earnings Quality in the Microfinance Industry," EconStor Open Access Book Chapters, in: Microfinance in Developing Countries: Issues, Policies and Performance Evaluation, pages 83-106, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    8. Patricia M. Fairfield & Karen A. Kitching & Vicki Wei Tang, 2009. "Are special items informative about future profit margins?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 204-236, September.
    9. Mark T. Bradshaw, 2011. "A discussion of “Do managers use earnings guidance to influence street earnings exclusions?”," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 528-538, September.
    10. Patricia M. Fairfield, 2006. "Discussion of “The persistence of earnings and cash flows and the role of special items: Implications for the accrual anomaly”," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 297-303, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    2. Kothari, S.P. & Loutskina, E. & Nikolaev, V., 2006. "Agency Theory of Overvalued Equity as an Explanation for the Accrual Anomaly," Discussion Paper 2006-103, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    3. Kothari, S.P. & Loutskina, E. & Nikolaev, V., 2006. "Agency Theory of Overvalued Equity as an Explanation for the Accrual Anomaly," Other publications TiSEM 3f380fcf-b0ca-4198-86f8-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Lu, Hsueh-Tien, 2018. "Voluntary disclosure and the pricing of earnings components," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 64-73.
    5. Kevin Ke Li, 2011. "How well do investors understand loss persistence?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 630-667, September.
    6. Dana Hollie & Philip B. Shane & Qiuhong Zhao & Steven Cahan, 2017. "The role of financial analysts in stock market efficiency with respect to annual earnings and its cash and accrual components," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 57(1), pages 199-237, March.
    7. Chih-Ying Chen, 2010. "Do analysts and investors fully understand the persistence of the items excluded from Street earnings?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 32-69, March.
    8. Linna Shi & Huai Zhang, 2012. "Can the earnings fixation hypothesis explain the accrual anomaly?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 1-21, March.
    9. Venter, Elmar R. & Cahan, Steven F. & Emanuel, David, 2013. "Mandatory Earnings Disaggregation and the Persistence and Pricing of Earnings Components," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 26-53.
    10. Jacobs, Heiko, 2015. "What explains the dynamics of 100 anomalies?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 65-85.
    11. Brett Govendir & Peter Wells, 2014. "The influence of the accruals generating process on earnings persistence," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 39(4), pages 593-614, November.
    12. Dechow, Patricia & Ge, Weili & Schrand, Catherine, 2010. "Understanding earnings quality: A review of the proxies, their determinants and their consequences," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 344-401, December.
    13. Kewei Hou & Haitao Mo & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2019. "Which Factors?," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-35.
    14. Santanu Mitra & Mahmud Hossain, 2011. "Corporate governance attributes and remediation of internal control material weaknesses reported under SOX Section 404," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 10(1), pages 5 - 29, February.
    15. Hou, Kewei & Xue, Chen & Zhang, Lu, 2017. "Replicating Anomalies," Working Paper Series 2017-10, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    16. Richardson, Scott & Tuna, Irem & Wysocki, Peter, 2010. "Accounting anomalies and fundamental analysis: A review of recent research advances," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 410-454, December.
    17. Kai Du & Xin Daniel Jiang, 2020. "Connections between the Market Pricing of Accruals Quality and Accounting‐Based Anomalies," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 2087-2119, December.
    18. Theodore E. Christensen & Kenneth J. Merkley & Jennifer Wu Tucker & Shankar Venkataraman, 2011. "Do managers use earnings guidance to influence street earnings exclusions?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 501-527, September.
    19. Ming‐Chang Wang & Yu‐Jia Ding, 2021. "Does the quarterly accrual anomaly exist in Taiwan's stock market? Evidence from Manager's earnings management," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 688-701, April.
    20. Patricia M. Fairfield & Karen A. Kitching & Vicki Wei Tang, 2009. "Are special items informative about future profit margins?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 204-236, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • M4 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:reaccs:v:11:y:2006:i:2:d:10.1007_s11142-006-9004-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.