IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/portec/v23y2024i1d10.1007_s10258-022-00227-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock market reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic: an event study

Author

Listed:
  • Xiuping Ji

    (The University of Sussex)

  • Naipeng (Tom) Bu

    (Shandong University)

  • Chen Zheng

    (Leeds Beckett University)

  • Honggen Xiao

    (The Hong Kong Polytechnic University)

  • Caixia Liu

    (Shandong University)

  • Xuesheng Chen

    (Shandong University)

  • Kangping Wang

    (Shandong University)

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic created unprecedented challenges for communities and economies around the world. Based on 13 leading global stock indices, the event study method is adopted in this research to explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the performance of the stock market indices in the short term. Regression results show that the global stock markets performed poorly in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings of the event study imply that the stock markets reacted rapidly and negatively to the COVID-19 pandemic when lockdown restrictions were announced to contain the spread of the novel coronavirus. The Asian stock indices experienced more negative abnormal earnings than the stock indices of the countries outside Asia. Moreover, investor sentiments act as a wedge between financial investment decisions, returns, and fear of uncertainty caused by the pandemic. Furthermore, the panic experienced by investors may be an effective transmission channel through which the COVID-19 outbreak affects the returns on the stock market indices.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiuping Ji & Naipeng (Tom) Bu & Chen Zheng & Honggen Xiao & Caixia Liu & Xuesheng Chen & Kangping Wang, 2024. "Stock market reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic: an event study," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(1), pages 167-186, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:portec:v:23:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s10258-022-00227-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s10258-022-00227-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10258-022-00227-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10258-022-00227-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Massimo Guidolin & Eliana La Ferrara, 2007. "Diamonds Are Forever, Wars Are Not: Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(5), pages 1978-1993, December.
    2. Mei-Ping Chen & Chien-Chiang Lee & Yu-Hui Lin & Wen-Yi Chen, 2018. "Did the S.A.R.S. epidemic weaken the integration of Asian stock markets? Evidence from smooth time-varying cointegration analysis," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 908-926, January.
    3. Ali, Mohsin & Alam, Nafis & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2020. "Coronavirus (COVID-19) — An epidemic or pandemic for financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    4. Xiuping Ji & Feiran Dong & Chen Zheng & Naipeng Bu, 2022. "The Influences of International Trade on Sustainable Economic Growth: An Economic Policy Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, February.
    5. Dao Le Trang Anh & Christopher Gan, 2020. "The impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on stock market performance: evidence from Vietnam," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 48(4), pages 836-851, August.
    6. Itay Goldstein & Ralph S J Koijen & Holger M Mueller, 2021. "COVID-19 and Its Impact on Financial Markets and the Real Economy [A model of endogenous risk intolerance and LSAPs: Asset prices and aggregate demand in a “COVID-19” shock]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5135-5148.
    7. Baker, Malcolm & Wurgler, Jeffrey & Yuan, Yu, 2012. "Global, local, and contagious investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 272-287.
    8. Samer AM Al‐Rjoub & Hussam Azzam, 2012. "Financial crises, stock returns and volatility in an emerging stock market: the case of Jordan," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(2), pages 178-211, May.
    9. HaiYue Liu & Aqsa Manzoor & CangYu Wang & Lei Zhang & Zaira Manzoor, 2020. "The COVID-19 Outbreak and Affected Countries Stock Markets Response," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-19, April.
    10. Eleftheriou, Konstantinos & Patsoulis, Patroklos, 2020. "COVID-19 Lockdown Intensity and Stock Market Returns: A Spatial Econometrics Approach," MPRA Paper 100662, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    12. Qing He & Junyi Liu & Sizhu Wang & Jishuang Yu, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on stock markets," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 275-288, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bashir Ahmad Joo & Zahida Farooq, 2022. "Testing the impact of COVID-19 on trading behavior of the investors: An empirical evidence from Indian Stock Market," Indian Journal of Commerce and Management Studies, Educational Research Multimedia & Publications,India, vol. 13(3), pages 21-29, September.
    2. Muhammad Kashif & Fatima Sultana & Muhammad Atif & Muhammad Aslam & Ammara Sarwar & Umar Farooq Awan & Muhammad Wasif Hanif, 2023. "COVID-19 Attack on Stock Markets: Event Study and Panel Data Analysis of Organization of Islamic Countries (OIC)," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 5(1), pages 50-63.
    3. Wang, Zhixuan & Dong, Yanli & Liu, Ailan, 2022. "How does China's stock market react to supply chain disruptions from COVID-19?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Tingting Lan & Liuguo Shao & Hua Zhang & Caijun Yuan, 2023. "The impact of pandemic on dynamic volatility spillover network of international stock markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2115-2144, November.
    5. Mr. Philip Barrett & Sophia Chen & Miss Mali Chivakul & Ms. Deniz O Igan, 2021. "Pricing Protest: The Response of Financial Markets to Social Unrest," IMF Working Papers 2021/079, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Siyi Liu & Xin Liu & Chuancai Zhang & Lingli Zhang, 2023. "Institutional and individual investors' short‐term reactions to the COVID‐19 crisis in China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(4), pages 4333-4355, December.
    7. Sen, Suphi & von Schickfus, Marie-Theres, 2020. "Climate policy, stranded assets, and investors’ expectations," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    8. Saeed Ghasseminejad & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar, 2020. "The Impact of Financial Sanctions: The Case of Iran 2011-2016," International Finance Discussion Papers 1281, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Dora Almeida & Andreia Dionísio & Muhammad Enamul Haque & Paulo Ferreira, 2022. "A Giant Falls: The Impact of Evergrande on Asian Stock Indexes," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, July.
    10. Zhang, Wenwen & Cao, Shuo & Zhang, Xuan & Qu, Xuefeng, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock market performance: Evidence from the RCEP countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 717-735.
    11. STEFANOVA, Julia Stoyancheva, 2022. "Problems And Prospects To Sustainable Development In Covid-19 “New Normal”: Evidence From Western Balkans’ Stock Markets," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 26(3), pages 6-34, September.
    12. Josua Sinaga & Ting Wu & Yu-wang Chen, 2022. "Impact of government interventions on the stock market during COVID-19: a case study in Indonesia," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(9), pages 1-35, September.
    13. Guilhem Cassan & Marc Sangnier, 2022. "The impact of 2020 French municipal elections on the spread of COVID-19," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 35(3), pages 963-988, July.
    14. Martins, António Miguel & Correia, Pedro & Gouveia, Ricardo, 2023. "Russia-Ukraine conflict: The effect on European banks’ stock market returns," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    15. Yadav, Miklesh Prasad & Rao, Amar & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Tabassum, Sabia & Lucey, Brian, 2023. "The domino effect: Analyzing the impact of Silicon Valley Bank's fall on top equity indices around the world," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    16. David Kreitmeir & Nathan Lane & Paul A. Raschky, 2020. "The Value of Names - Civil Society, Information, and Governing Multinationals on the Global Periphery," SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series 2020-10, Monash University, SoDa Laboratories.
    17. Sabeeh Ullah, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Markets: a Global Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 982-1003, June.
    18. Apostolos Ampountolas, 2023. "Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning, Hybrid, and Deep Learning Forecasting Models Evidence from European Financial Markets and Bitcoins," Papers 2307.08853, arXiv.org.
    19. Suphi Sen & Marie-Theres von Schickfus, 2017. "Will Assets be Stranded or Bailed Out? Expectations of Investors in the Face of Climate Policy," ifo Working Paper Series 238, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    20. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:portec:v:23:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s10258-022-00227-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.