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Characteristics of meteorological drought in Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • B. Dash
  • M. Rafiuddin
  • Fahima Khanam
  • M. Islam

Abstract

Meteorological drought events occur in Bangladesh are diagnosed using monthly rainfall and mean air temperature from the surface observations and Regional Climate Model (RegCM) by calculating Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for the period 1961–1990. The historical records of drought event obtained from the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics and International Disaster Database are used to verify the SPI and PDSI detected events. The SPI and monthly PDSI are obtained for 27 station data across Bangladesh as well as for two subregions over the country. Result based on the observed data shows that regional information is better in drought diagnosis compared to the point information. The regional analysis is able to detect about 80 % of the drought events occurred during the study period. Frequency of moderate drought is higher for all over the country. The SPI calculated from RegCM rainfall shows that the detection of moderate drought events is 10, 7, and 21 % overestimated for 1-, 3-, and 6-month length, respectively, compared to using of observed data. For extreme drought cases, detection is overestimated (underestimated) by 25 % (79 %) for 1-month (6-month) length. The PDSI results for model and observed data are nearly same to SPI calculations. Model monthly PDSI result is overestimated (underestimated) by 29 % (50 %) for moderate (severe) drought events with reference to the observed PDSI. Hence, RegCM output may be useful to detect 3–6-month (monthly to seasonal) length moderate drought events over a heavy rainfall region likely Bangladesh. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • B. Dash & M. Rafiuddin & Fahima Khanam & M. Islam, 2012. "Characteristics of meteorological drought in Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(2), pages 1461-1474, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:64:y:2012:i:2:p:1461-1474
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0307-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shamsuddin Shahid & Houshang Behrawan, 2008. "Drought risk assessment in the western part of Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(3), pages 391-413, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Naiming Xie & Jianghui Xin & Sifeng Liu, 2014. "China’s regional meteorological disaster loss analysis and evaluation based on grey cluster model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(2), pages 1067-1089, March.
    2. Fatih Tosunoglu & Ibrahim Can, 2016. "Application of copulas for regional bivariate frequency analysis of meteorological droughts in Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1457-1477, July.
    3. Mondol, Md Anarul Haque & Zhu, Xuan & Dunkerley, David & Henley, Benjamin J., 2021. "Observed meteorological drought trends in Bangladesh identified with the Effective Drought Index (EDI)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    4. Md. Sazedur Rahman* & Md. Ashfikur Rahman, 2019. "Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production in Bangladesh: A Review," Journal of Agriculture and Crops, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 5(1), pages 6-14, 01-2019.
    5. Md. Islam & Md. Malak & M. Islam, 2013. "Community-based disaster risk and vulnerability models of a coastal municipality in Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 2083-2103, December.
    6. Babak Amirataee & Majid Montaseri, 2017. "The performance of SPI and PNPI in analyzing the spatial and temporal trend of dry and wet periods over Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 89-106, March.
    7. Jun He & Xiao-Hua Yang & Jian-Qiang Li & Ju-Liang Jin & Yi-Ming Wei & Xiao-Juan Chen, 2015. "Spatiotemporal variation of meteorological droughts based on the daily comprehensive drought index in the Haihe River basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(2), pages 199-217, February.
    8. Jamal Uddin Khan & A. K. M. Saiful Islam & Mohan K. Das & Khaled Mohammed & Sujit Kumar Bala & G. M. Tarekul Islam, 2020. "Future changes in meteorological drought characteristics over Bangladesh projected by the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 667-685, September.
    9. Xining Zhao & Pute Wu, 2013. "Meteorological drought over the Chinese Loess Plateau: 1971–2010," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(2), pages 951-961, June.
    10. Gazi Tamiz Uddin & Mahbuba Akther Mishu & Md Tuhinul Hasan & Debarshi Choudhury, 2022. "Crop production amid climate change and river water level fluctuation at northeastern region of Bangladesh: A time series analysis," International Journal of Agricultural Research, Innovation and Technology (IJARIT), IJARIT Research Foundation, vol. 12(2), December.
    11. Mondol, Md Anarul Haque & Zhu, Xuan & Dunkerley, David & Henley, Benjamin J., 2022. "Changing occurrence of crop water surplus or deficit and the impact of irrigation: An analysis highlighting consequences for rice production in Bangladesh," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).

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