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Bitcoin as an alternative investment vehicle

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  • KiHoon Hong

    (Hongik University)

Abstract

This paper documents time series momentum in Bitcoin returns. The paper finds persistence in returns for one to 8 weeks that partially reverses over longer horizons, consistent with sentiment theories of initial under-reaction and delayed over-reaction. The time series momentum in Bitcoin returns is similar to that of the other asset returns while the time span is much shorter. This may be due to much quicker nature and shorter term memory of Bitcoin investors. A combined portfolio of S&P500 and Bitcoin momentum strategy shows enhanced expected return, skewness, kurtosis and Value at Risk for given levels of portfolio return volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • KiHoon Hong, 2017. "Bitcoin as an alternative investment vehicle," Information Technology and Management, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 265-275, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:infotm:v:18:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s10799-016-0264-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10799-016-0264-6
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Masafumi Nakano & Akihiko Takahashi & Soichiro Takahashi, 2018. "Bitcoin Technical Trading with Articial Neural Network," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1090, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    2. Ozdamar, Melisa & Sensoy, Ahmet & Akdeniz, Levent, 2022. "Retail vs institutional investor attention in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Stefano Martinazzi & Daniele Regoli & Andrea Flori, 2020. "A Tale of Two Layers: The Mutual Relationship between Bitcoin and Lightning Network," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, December.
    4. Lee, Adrian D. & Li, Mengling & Zheng, Huanhuan, 2020. "Bitcoin: Speculative asset or innovative technology?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Masafumi Nakano & Akihiko Takahashi & Soichiro Takahashi, 2018. "Bitcoin technical trading with artificial neural network," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1078, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    6. Masafumi Nakano & Akihiko Takahashi & Soichiro Takahashi, 2018. "Bitcoin technical trading with artificial neural network," CARF F-Series CARF-F-430, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    7. Klender Cortez & Martha del Pilar Rodríguez-García & Samuel Mongrut, 2020. "Exchange Market Liquidity Prediction with the K-Nearest Neighbor Approach: Crypto vs. Fiat Currencies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    8. Nakano, Masafumi & Takahashi, Akihiko & Takahashi, Soichiro, 2018. "Bitcoin technical trading with artificial neural network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 587-609.
    9. Klarin, Anton, 2020. "The decade-long cryptocurrencies and the blockchain rollercoaster: Mapping the intellectual structure and charting future directions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    10. Lambrecht, Marco & Sofianos, Andis & Xu, Yilong, 2020. "Does mining fuel bubbles? An experimental study on cryptocurrency markets," Working Papers 0690, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    11. Runjie Xu & Chuanmin Mi & Nan Ye & Tom Marshall & Yadong Xiao & Hefan Shuai, 2020. "Risk Fluctuation Characteristics of Internet Finance: Combining Industry Characteristics with Ecological Value," Papers 2001.09798, arXiv.org.
    12. Janson, Nathalie & Karoubi, Bruno, 2021. "The Bitcoin: to be or not to be a Real Currency?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 312-319.
    13. Rubaiyat Ahsan Bhuiyan & Afzol Husain & Changyong Zhang, 2023. "Diversification evidence of bitcoin and gold from wavelet analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-36, December.
    14. Flori, Andrea, 2019. "News and subjective beliefs: A Bayesian approach to Bitcoin investments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 336-356.
    15. Neveen Ahmed & Omar Farooq & Nidaa Hamed, 2023. "Relation Between Bitcoin and Its Forks: An Empirical Investigation," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 249-261, April.
    16. Tang, Tao & Wang, Yanchen, 2022. "Liquidity Shocks, Price Volatilities, and Risk-managed Strategy: Evidence from Bitcoin and Beyond," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    17. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.
    18. Melisa Ozdamar & Levent Akdeniz & Ahmet Sensoy, 2021. "Lottery-like preferences and the MAX effect in the cryptocurrency market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Digital currency; Time series momentum; Profitability; Portfolio construction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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