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The impact of monetary policy on local housing markets: Do regulations matter?

Author

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  • Xiaojin Sun

    (University of Texas at El Paso)

  • Kwok Ping Tsang

    (Virginia Tech)

Abstract

This paper shows that monetary policy has uneven impacts on local housing markets, and that the magnitude of the impacts are correlated with housing supply regulations. We apply the linearized present value model, which allows the log rent–price ratio to be decomposed into the expected present values of all future real interests rates, real housing premia, and real rent growth, to the housing markets in 23 US metropolitan statistical areas. Based on the indirect inference bias-corrected VAR estimates, we find that MSAs that are more regulated have (i) a higher variance in the log rent–price ratio, (ii) a larger share of the variance explained by real interest rate, and (iii) a stronger impulse response of house price to the real interest rate shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaojin Sun & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2018. "The impact of monetary policy on local housing markets: Do regulations matter?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 989-1015, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:54:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s00181-017-1255-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1255-0
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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Present value model; Rent–price ratio; Housing supply regulations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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