IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/decfin/v44y2021i1d10.1007_s10203-021-00322-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

MURAME parameter setting for creditworthiness evaluation: data-driven optimization

Author

Listed:
  • Marco Corazza

    (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice)

  • Giovanni Fasano

    (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice)

  • Stefania Funari

    (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice)

  • Riccardo Gusso

    (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice)

Abstract

In this paper, we amend a multi-criteria methodology known as MURAME, to evaluate the creditworthiness of a large sample of Italian Small and Medium-sized Enterprises, using as input their balance sheet data. This methodology produces results in terms of scoring and of classification into homogeneous rating classes. A distinctive goal of this paper is to consider a preference disaggregation method to endogenously determine some parameters of MURAME, by solving a nonsmooth constrained optimization problem. Because of the complexity of the involved mathematical programming problem, for its solution we use an evolutionary metaheuristic, coupled with a specific efficient initialization. This is combined with an unconstrained reformulation of the problem, which provides a reasonable compromise between the quality of the solution and the computational burden. An extensive numerical experience is reported, comparing an exogenous choice of MURAME parameters with our approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Corazza & Giovanni Fasano & Stefania Funari & Riccardo Gusso, 2021. "MURAME parameter setting for creditworthiness evaluation: data-driven optimization," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(1), pages 295-339, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:decfin:v:44:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10203-021-00322-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10203-021-00322-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10203-021-00322-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10203-021-00322-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marco Corazza & Stefania Funari & Riccardo Gusso, 2012. "An evolutionary approach to preference disaggregation in a MURAME-based credit scoring problem," Working Papers 5, Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    2. Yorgos Goletsis & John Psarras & Jesus-Emmanuel Samouilidis, 2003. "Project Ranking in the Armenian Energy Sector Using a Multicriteria Method for Groups," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 120(1), pages 135-157, April.
    3. Edward Altman & Gabriele Sabato, 2005. "Effects of the New Basel Capital Accord on Bank Capital Requirements for SMEs," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 15-42, October.
    4. Marco Corazza & Giovanni Fasano & Riccardo Gusso, 2011. "Particle Swarm Optimization with non-smooth penalty reformulation for a complex portfolio selection problem," Working Papers 2011_10, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    5. Michael Doumpos & Fotios Pasiouras, 2005. "Developing and Testing Models for Replicating Credit Ratings: A Multicriteria Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 25(4), pages 327-341, June.
    6. Akkoç, Soner, 2012. "An empirical comparison of conventional techniques, neural networks and the three stage hybrid Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model for credit scoring analysis: The case of Turkish cred," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 168-178.
    7. Kadziński, Miłosz & Ghaderi, Mohammad & Dąbrowski, Maciej, 2020. "Contingent preference disaggregation model for multiple criteria sorting problem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 281(2), pages 369-387.
    8. G. Baourakis & M. Conisescu & G. Dijk & P. Pardalos & C. Zopounidis, 2009. "A multicriteria approach for rating the credit risk of financial institutions," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 347-356, August.
    9. Jacquet-Lagreze, Eric & Siskos, Yannis, 2001. "Preference disaggregation: 20 years of MCDA experience," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 233-245, April.
    10. Corazza, Marco & Funari, Stefania & Gusso, Riccardo, 2016. "Creditworthiness evaluation of Italian SMEs at the beginning of the 2007–2008 crisis: An MCDA approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-26.
    11. Silvia Angilella & Sebastiano Mazzù, 2019. "A credit risk model with an automatic override for innovative small and medium-sized enterprises," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(10), pages 1784-1800, October.
    12. Doumpos, M. & Kosmidou, K. & Baourakis, G. & Zopounidis, C., 2002. "Credit risk assessment using a multicriteria hierarchical discrimination approach: A comparative analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 392-412, April.
    13. Altman, Edward I. & Esentato, Maurizio & Sabato, Gabriele, 2020. "Assessing the credit worthiness of Italian SMEs and mini-bond issuers," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    14. Mohammad Mahdi Mousavi & Jamal Ouenniche, 2018. "Multi-criteria ranking of corporate distress prediction models: empirical evaluation and methodological contributions," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 271(2), pages 853-886, December.
    15. Altman, Edward I. & Marco, Giancarlo & Varetto, Franco, 1994. "Corporate distress diagnosis: Comparisons using linear discriminant analysis and neural networks (the Italian experience)," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 505-529, May.
    16. Edward I. Altman & Gabriele Sabato, 2013. "MODELING CREDIT RISK FOR SMEs: EVIDENCE FROM THE US MARKET," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Oliviero Roggi & Edward I Altman (ed.), Managing and Measuring Risk Emerging Global Standards and Regulations After the Financial Crisis, chapter 9, pages 251-279, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    17. Kosmidou K. & Doumpos M. & Zopounidis C., 2002. "A Multicriteria Hierarchical Discrimination Approach for Credit Risk Problems," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 53-68, January -.
    18. Marco Corazza & Giacomo Di Tollo & Giovanni Fasano & Raffaele Pesenti, 2015. "A novel initialization of PSO for costly portfolio selection problems," Working Papers 4, Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    19. Angilella, Silvia & Mazzù, Sebastiano, 2015. "The financing of innovative SMEs: A multicriteria credit rating model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(2), pages 540-554.
    20. Doumpos, Michalis & Figueira, José Rui, 2019. "A multicriteria outranking approach for modeling corporate credit ratings: An application of the Electre Tri-nC method," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 166-180.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marco Corazza & Giovanni Fasano & Stefania Funari & Riccardo Gusso, 2017. "PSO-based tuning of MURAME parameters for creditworthiness evaluation of Italian SMEs," Working Papers 04, Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    2. Corazza, Marco & Funari, Stefania & Gusso, Riccardo, 2016. "Creditworthiness evaluation of Italian SMEs at the beginning of the 2007–2008 crisis: An MCDA approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-26.
    3. Francesco Ciampi & Alessandro Giannozzi & Giacomo Marzi & Edward I. Altman, 2021. "Rethinking SME default prediction: a systematic literature review and future perspectives," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(3), pages 2141-2188, March.
    4. Silvia Angilella & Maria Rosaria Pappalardo, 2021. "Assessment of a failure prediction model in the energy sector: a multicriteria discrimination approach with Promethee based classification," Papers 2102.07656, arXiv.org.
    5. Marco Corazza & Stefania Funari & Federico Siviero, 2008. "An MCDA-based Approach for Creditworthiness Assessment," Working Papers 177, Department of Applied Mathematics, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    6. Yu Zhao & Huaming Du & Qing Li & Fuzhen Zhuang & Ji Liu & Gang Kou, 2022. "A Comprehensive Survey on Enterprise Financial Risk Analysis from Big Data Perspective," Papers 2211.14997, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    7. Pranith K. Roy & Krishnendu Shaw, 2023. "A credit scoring model for SMEs using AHP and TOPSIS," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 372-391, January.
    8. Angilella, Silvia & Mazzù, Sebastiano, 2015. "The financing of innovative SMEs: A multicriteria credit rating model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(2), pages 540-554.
    9. Mohammad Mahdi Mousavi & Jamal Ouenniche & Kaoru Tone, 2023. "A dynamic performance evaluation of distress prediction models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 756-784, July.
    10. Vahid Baradaran & Maryam Keshavarz, 2017. "System dynamics modelling of retailers' credit risk," International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 26(3), pages 380-396.
    11. Evangelos C. Charalambakis, 2015. "On the Prediction of Corporate Financial Distress in the Light of the Financial Crisis: Empirical Evidence from Greek Listed Firms," International Journal of the Economics of Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 407-428, November.
    12. fernández, María t. Tascón & gutiérrez, Francisco J. Castaño, 2012. "Variables y Modelos Para La Identificación y Predicción Del Fracaso Empresarial: Revisión de La Investigación Empírica Reciente," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 7-58.
    13. Wang, Jing & Wang, Kai & Li, Xiang & Zhao, Ruiqing, 2022. "Suppliers’ trade credit strategies with transparent credit ratings: Null, exclusive, and nonchalant provision," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(1), pages 153-163.
    14. Diana Barro & Marco Corazza & Gianni Filograsso, 2023. "A ESG rating model for European SMEs using multi-criteria decision aiding," Working Papers 2023: 27, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    15. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Fukuda, Lisa & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2021. "A model for calculating optimal credit guarantee fee for small and medium-sized enterprises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 361-373.
    16. Mehmet Karan & Aydın Ulucan & Mustafa Kaya, 2013. "Credit risk estimation using payment history data: a comparative study of Turkish retail stores," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 21(2), pages 479-494, March.
    17. Şaban Çelik, 2013. "Micro Credit Risk Metrics: A Comprehensive Review," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 233-272, October.
    18. Pranith Kumar Roy & Krishnendu Shaw, 2021. "A multicriteria credit scoring model for SMEs using hybrid BWM and TOPSIS," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    19. Şaban Çelik & Bora Aktan & Bruce Burton, 2022. "Firm dynamics and bankruptcy processes: A new theoretical model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 567-591, April.
    20. Chrysovalantis Gaganis & Panagiota Papadimitri & Menelaos Tasiou, 2021. "A multicriteria decision support tool for modelling bank credit ratings," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 27-56, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA); MUlticriteria RAnking MEthod (MURAME); Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs); Creditworthiness evaluation; Preference disaggregation; Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:decfin:v:44:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10203-021-00322-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.