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Climate change enhances deepwater warming of subtropical reservoirs: evidence from hydrodynamic modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Laura Melo Vieira Soares

    (University of São Paulo at São Carlos School of Engineering)

  • Maria Calijuri

    (University of São Paulo at São Carlos School of Engineering)

  • Talita Fernanda Silva

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais)

  • Evlyn Marcia Leão Novo

    (National Institute of Space Research (INPE))

Abstract

Lake surface warming and thermal responses to climate change have been widely reported, especially in temperate regions. Evidence of reservoir response in low latitudes is still limited. In this study, the vertical profile of water temperature in the Barra Bonita Reservoir (Brazil) is simulated using the one-dimensional General Lake Model (GLM), calibrated, and validated using in-situ data. Water temperature and reservoir hydrodynamics are simulated over 26 years (1993–2018) to investigate warming trends, seasonal patterns, Schmidt stability, and the number of stratified days per year. Results indicate that the reservoir has experienced significant warming since 1993 related to increasing air temperature and decreasing wind speed. Water temperature increases (p value

Suggested Citation

  • Laura Melo Vieira Soares & Maria Calijuri & Talita Fernanda Silva & Evlyn Marcia Leão Novo, 2021. "Climate change enhances deepwater warming of subtropical reservoirs: evidence from hydrodynamic modelling," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-19, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:166:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03124-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03124-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jonathan Butcher & Daniel Nover & Thomas Johnson & Christopher Clark, 2015. "Sensitivity of lake thermal and mixing dynamics to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 295-305, March.
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    3. Snortheim, Craig A. & Hanson, Paul C. & McMahon, Katherine D. & Read, Jordan S. & Carey, Cayelan C. & Dugan, Hilary A., 2017. "Meteorological drivers of hypolimnetic anoxia in a eutrophic, north temperate lake," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 39-53.
    4. Weinberger, Stefan & Vetter, Mark, 2012. "Using the hydrodynamic model DYRESM based on results of a regional climate model to estimate water temperature changes at Lake Ammersee," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 244(C), pages 38-48.
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