IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-42262-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Controls of thermal response of temperate lakes to atmospheric warming

Author

Listed:
  • Jian Zhou

    (Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Nanjing Normal University)

  • Peter R. Leavitt

    (University of Regina
    University of Regina)

  • Kevin C. Rose

    (Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute)

  • Xiwen Wang

    (Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Yibo Zhang

    (Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Kun Shi

    (Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Boqiang Qin

    (Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Atmospheric warming heats lakes, but the causes of variation among basins are poorly understood. Here, multi-decadal profiles of water temperatures, trophic state, and local climate from 345 temperate lakes are combined with data on lake geomorphology and watershed characteristics to identify controls of the relative rates of temperature change in water (WT) and air (AT) during summer. We show that differences in local climate (AT, wind speed, humidity, irradiance), land cover (forest, urban, agriculture), geomorphology (elevation, area/depth ratio), and water transparency explain >30% of the difference in rate of lake heating compared to that of the atmosphere. Importantly, the rate of lake heating slows as air warms (P

Suggested Citation

  • Jian Zhou & Peter R. Leavitt & Kevin C. Rose & Xiwen Wang & Yibo Zhang & Kun Shi & Boqiang Qin, 2023. "Controls of thermal response of temperate lakes to atmospheric warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-42262-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42262-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-42262-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-42262-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sebastiano Piccolroaz & R. Iestyn Woolway & Christopher J. Merchant, 2020. "Correction to: Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 443-443, June.
    2. Jonathan Butcher & Daniel Nover & Thomas Johnson & Christopher Clark, 2015. "Sensitivity of lake thermal and mixing dynamics to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 295-305, March.
    3. Mathis Loïc Messager & Bernhard Lehner & Günther Grill & Irena Nedeva & Oliver Schmitt, 2016. "Estimating the volume and age of water stored in global lakes using a geo-statistical approach," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. R. Iestyn Woolway & Eleanor Jennings & Tom Shatwell & Malgorzata Golub & Don C. Pierson & Stephen C. Maberly, 2021. "Lake heatwaves under climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 589(7842), pages 402-407, January.
    5. Sebastiano Piccolroaz & R. Iestyn Woolway & Christopher J. Merchant, 2020. "Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 427-442, June.
    6. Fortmann-Roe, Scott, 2015. "Consistent and Clear Reporting of Results from Diverse Modeling Techniques: The A3 Method," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 66(i07).
    7. Stephen F. Jane & Gretchen J. A. Hansen & Benjamin M. Kraemer & Peter R. Leavitt & Joshua L. Mincer & Rebecca L. North & Rachel M. Pilla & Jonathan T. Stetler & Craig E. Williamson & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2021. "Widespread deoxygenation of temperate lakes," Nature, Nature, vol. 594(7861), pages 66-70, June.
    8. R. Iestyn Woolway & Sapna Sharma & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & Andrey Debolskiy & Malgorzata Golub & Daniel Mercado-Bettín & Marjorie Perroud & Victor Stepanenko & Zeli Tan & Luke Grant & Robert Ladwig & Jo, 2021. "Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    9. Martin Schmid & Stefan Hunziker & Alfred Wüest, 2014. "Lake surface temperatures in a changing climate: a global sensitivity analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 301-315, May.
    10. Jeff C. Ho & Anna M. Michalak & Nima Pahlevan, 2019. "Widespread global increase in intense lake phytoplankton blooms since the 1980s," Nature, Nature, vol. 574(7780), pages 667-670, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Weijia Wang & Kun Shi & Xiwen Wang & Yunlin Zhang & Boqiang Qin & Yibo Zhang & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2024. "The impact of extreme heat on lake warming in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-7, December.
    2. Martin T. Dokulil & Elvira Eyto & Stephen C. Maberly & Linda May & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2021. "Increasing maximum lake surface temperature under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Xinyu Li & Shushi Peng & Yi Xi & R. Iestyn Woolway & Gang Liu, 2022. "Earlier ice loss accelerates lake warming in the Northern Hemisphere," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    4. R. Iestyn Woolway, 2023. "The pace of shifting seasons in lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Elhabashy, Ahmed & Li, Jing & Sokolova, Ekaterina, 2023. "Water quality modeling of a eutrophic drinking water source: Impact of future climate on Cyanobacterial blooms," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 477(C).
    6. Ratté-Fortin, Claudie & Chokmani, Karem & El Alem, Anas & Laurion, Isabelle, 2022. "A regional model to predict the occurrence of natural events: Application to phytoplankton blooms in continental waterbodies," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 473(C).
    7. Kevin C. Rose & Britta Bierwagen & Scott D. Bridgham & Daren M. Carlisle & Charles P. Hawkins & N. LeRoy Poff & Jordan S. Read & Jason R. Rohr & Jasmine E. Saros & Craig E. Williamson, 2023. "Indicators of the effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(3), pages 1-20, March.
    8. Ya Li & Hanqin Tian & Yuanzhi Yao & Hao Shi & Zihao Bian & Yu Shi & Siyuan Wang & Taylor Maavara & Ronny Lauerwald & Shufen Pan, 2024. "Increased nitrous oxide emissions from global lakes and reservoirs since the pre-industrial era," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    9. Dongmei Feng & Colin J. Gleason & Peirong Lin & Xiao Yang & Ming Pan & Yuta Ishitsuka, 2021. "Recent changes to Arctic river discharge," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    10. Bo Qin & Rong Wang & Xiangdong Yang & Qinghui Zhang & Jianan Zheng, 2023. "Reconstruction and Trends of Total Phosphorus in Shallow Lakes in Eastern China in The Past Century," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-15, July.
    11. Lei Huang & Axel Timmermann & Sun-Seon Lee & Keith B. Rodgers & Ryohei Yamaguchi & Eui-Seok Chung, 2022. "Emerging unprecedented lake ice loss in climate change projections," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    12. Bloem, Jeffrey R., 2023. "Technology Adoption, Agricultural Productivity, and Deforestation," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335506, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Irina Gabriela Cara & Denis Țopa & Ioan Puiu & Gerard Jităreanu, 2022. "Biochar a Promising Strategy for Pesticide-Contaminated Soils," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, September.
    14. Shabnam Salehi & Mojtaba Ardestani, 2024. "Investigating Changes of Water Quality in Reservoirs based on Flood and Inflow Fluctuations," Papers 2403.05671, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    15. Ling Zheng & Yang Liu & Renhui Li & Yiming Yang & Yongguang Jiang, 2023. "Recent Advances in the Ecology of Bloom-Forming Raphidiopsis ( Cylindrospermopsis ) raciborskii : Expansion in China, Intraspecific Heterogeneity and Critical Factors for Invasion," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-13, January.
    16. Charles A. Taylor & Geoffrey Heal, 2021. "Fertilizer and Algal Blooms: A Satellite Approach to Assessing Water Quality," NBER Chapters, in: Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Qianhan Wu & Linghong Ke & Jida Wang & Tamlin M. Pavelsky & George H. Allen & Yongwei Sheng & Xuejun Duan & Yunqiang Zhu & Jin Wu & Lei Wang & Kai Liu & Tan Chen & Wensong Zhang & Chenyu Fan & Bin Yon, 2023. "Satellites reveal hotspots of global river extent change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    18. Ratté-Fortin, Claudie & Plante, Jean-François & Rousseau, Alain N. & Chokmani, Karem, 2023. "Parametric versus nonparametric machine learning modelling for conditional density estimation of natural events: Application to harmful algal blooms," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 482(C).
    19. Alexander E. Cagle & Alona Armstrong & Giles Exley & Steven M. Grodsky & Jordan Macknick & John Sherwin & Rebecca R. Hernandez, 2020. "The Land Sparing, Water Surface Use Efficiency, and Water Surface Transformation of Floating Photovoltaic Solar Energy Installations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-22, October.
    20. Konstantinos Stefanidis & George Varlas & Anastasios Papadopoulos & Elias Dimitriou, 2021. "Four Decades of Surface Temperature, Precipitation, and Wind Speed Trends over Lakes of Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-14, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-42262-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.