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Why could the coffee crop endure climate change and global warming to a greater extent than previously estimated?

Author

Listed:
  • Fábio M. DaMatta

    (Universidade Federal Viçosa)

  • Eric Rahn

    (Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)
    Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH))

  • Peter Läderach

    (Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT))

  • Raquel Ghini

    (Embrapa Meio Ambiente)

  • José C. Ramalho

    (Universidade de Lisboa (ULisboa)
    Universidade NOVA de Lisboa)

Abstract

Coffee, one of the most heavily globally traded agricultural commodities, has been categorized as a highly sensitive plant species to progressive climatic change. Here, we summarize recent insights on the coffee plant’s physiological performance at elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration [CO2]. We specifically (i) provide new data of crop yields obtained under free-air CO2 enrichment conditions, (ii) discuss predictions on the future of the coffee crop as based on rising temperature and (iii) emphasize the role of [CO2] as a key player for mitigating harmful effects of supra-optimal temperatures on coffee physiology and bean quality. We conclude that the effects of global warming on the climatic suitability of coffee may be lower than previously assumed. We highlight perspectives and priorities for further research to improve our understanding on how the coffee plant will respond to present and progressive climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Fábio M. DaMatta & Eric Rahn & Peter Läderach & Raquel Ghini & José C. Ramalho, 2019. "Why could the coffee crop endure climate change and global warming to a greater extent than previously estimated?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 152(1), pages 167-178, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:152:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2346-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2346-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fabian Y. F. Verhage & Niels P. R. Anten & Paulo C. Sentelhas, 2017. "Carbon dioxide fertilization offsets negative impacts of climate change on Arabica coffee yield in Brazil," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(4), pages 671-685, October.
    2. Raquel Ghini & André Torre-Neto & Anamaria Dentzien & Oliveiro Guerreiro-Filho & Regiane Iost & Flávia Patrício & Jeanne Prado & Roberto Thomaziello & Wagner Bettiol & Fábio DaMatta, 2015. "Coffee growth, pest and yield responses to free-air CO 2 enrichment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(2), pages 307-320, September.
    3. Jurandir Zullo & Hilton Pinto & Eduardo Assad & Ana Ávila, 2011. "Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(3), pages 535-548, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tosto, Ambra & Morales, Alejandro & Rahn, Eric & Evers, Jochem B. & Zuidema, Pieter A. & Anten, Niels P.R., 2023. "Simulating cocoa production: A review of modelling approaches and gaps," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    2. Thomas Sawe & Anders Nielsen & Katrine Eldegard, 2020. "Crop Pollination in Small-Scale Agriculture in Tanzania: Household Dependence, Awareness and Conservation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-13, March.
    3. Venturin, Afonso Zucolotto & Guimarães, Claudinei Martins & Sousa, Elias Fernandes de & Machado Filho, José Altino & Rodrigues, Weverton Pereira & Serrazine, Ícaro de Araujo & Bressan-Smith, Ricardo &, 2020. "Using a crop water stress index based on a sap flow method to estimate water status in conilon coffee plants," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    4. Ceballos-Sierra, Federico & Dall'Erba, Sandy, 2021. "The effect of climate variability on Colombian coffee productivity: A dynamic panel model approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    5. Fadjry Djufry & Suci Wulandari & Renato Villano, 2022. "Climate Smart Agriculture Implementation on Coffee Smallholders in Indonesia and Strategy to Accelerate," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-21, July.
    6. Kouadio, Louis & Tixier, Philippe & Byrareddy, Vivekananda & Marcussen, Torben & Mushtaq, Shahbaz & Rapidel, Bruno & Stone, Roger, 2021. "Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 443(C).
    7. Tsegaye Ginbo, 2022. "Heterogeneous impacts of climate change on crop yields across altitudes in Ethiopia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-21, January.

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