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Challenges and adaptations of farming to climate change in the North China Plain

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  • Hai-Lin Zhang
  • Xin Zhao
  • Xiao-Gang Yin
  • Sheng-Li Liu
  • Jian-Fu Xue
  • Meng Wang
  • Chao Pu
  • Rattan Lal
  • Fu Chen

Abstract

Climate change has been a concern of policy makers, scientists, and farmers due to its complex nature and far-reaching impacts. It is the right time to analyze the impacts of climate change and potential adaptations, and identify future strategies for sustainable development. This study assessed changes in climatic factors (e.g., temperature and precipitation) at three typical sites (i.e., Luancheng, Feixiang, and Huanghua) in the North China Plain (NCP), and analyzed adaptations of farming practices. Results indicated that the mean annual temperature followed a significant increasing trend during 1981–2011, with 0.57, 0.47, and 0.44 °C decade −1 for Luancheng, Huanghua, and Feixiang, respectively. A significant increase of 0.67, 0.53, and 0.38 °C decade −1 was observed for the winter-wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) season for Luancheng, Huanghua, and Feixiang, respectively (P > 0.05), but no significant change for the summer-corn (Zea mays L.) season for the three sites. The annual accumulated temperature (≥10 °C) increased significantly during 1981–2011 (P > 0.01), with 17.60, 10.49, and 14.09 °C yr −1 for Luancheng, Huanghua, and Feixiang, respectively. There was no significant increase of mean annual precipitation, which had large inter-annual fluctuations among the three sites. In addition, significant challenges lie ahead for the NCP due to climate change, e.g., increasing food grain demand, water shortages, high inputs, high carbon (C) emissions, and decreasing profits. Trade-offs between crop production, water resource conservation, and intensive agricultural inputs will inhibit sustainable agricultural development in the NCP. Farming practices have been adapted to the climate change in the NCP, e.g. late seeding for the winter-wheat, tillage conversion, and water saving irrigation. Therefore, innovative technologies, such as climate-smart agriculture, will play important roles in balancing food security and resources use, enhancing water use efficiency, reducing C emissions in the NCP. Coordinated efforts from the government, scientists, and farmers are also necessary, in response to climate change. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Hai-Lin Zhang & Xin Zhao & Xiao-Gang Yin & Sheng-Li Liu & Jian-Fu Xue & Meng Wang & Chao Pu & Rattan Lal & Fu Chen, 2015. "Challenges and adaptations of farming to climate change in the North China Plain," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 213-224, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:129:y:2015:i:1:p:213-224
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1337-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sun, Hong-Yong & Liu, Chang-Ming & Zhang, Xi-Ying & Shen, Yan-Jun & Zhang, Yong-Qiang, 2006. "Effects of irrigation on water balance, yield and WUE of winter wheat in the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 85(1-2), pages 211-218, September.
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    5. Yong Liu & Jorge Ruiz-Menjivar & Junbiao Zhang, 2023. "Do soil nutrient management practices improve climate resilience? Empirical evidence from rice farmers in central China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(9), pages 10029-10054, September.
    6. Dianyuan Ding & Hao Feng & Ying Zhao & Wenzhao Liu & Haixin Chen & Jianqiang He, 2016. "Impact assessment of climate change and later-maturing cultivars on winter wheat growth and soil water deficit on the Loess Plateau of China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 157-171, September.
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    8. Wang, Lichun & Ning, Songrui & Chen, Xiaoli & Li, Youli & Guo, Wenzhong & Ben-Gal, Alon, 2021. "Modeling tomato root water uptake influenced by soil salinity under drip irrigation with an inverse method," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    9. Rakoena, Veronica Mamanyane & Maake, Matome Moshobane Simeon & Antwi, Michael Akwasi, 2022. "The impact of the recapitalisation and development programme on agricultural productivity in South Africa," Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development, University of Life Sciences, Poznan, Poland, vol. 64(2), February.
    10. Hamani, Abdoul Kader Mounkaila & Liu, Junming & Si, Zhuanyun & Kpalari, Djifa Fidele & Wang, Guangshuai & Gao, Yang & Ju, Xiaotang, 2024. "The relationship of δD and δ18O in soil water and its implications for soil evaporation across distinct rainfall years in winter wheat field in the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).

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