IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v22y2016i6p1367-1379.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An efficient method for modelling tourists’ length of stay

Author

Listed:
  • Glauber Eduardo de Oliveira Santos

    (University of São Paulo (USP), Brazil)

Abstract

Modelling tourists’ length of stay imposes relevant challenges to researchers. The log-linear ordinary least squares (OLS) regression is a simple but limited statistical technique due to its log-normal distributional assumption. Duration models allow more flexible distributional assumptions, but they create unnecessary statistical complexity. Considering these limitations, a third and most efficient alternative that joins statistical simplicity and distributional flexibility is examined in this article. Generalized linear models (GLMs) are used to explain tourists’ length of stay at each of 100 Brazilian destinations. The log-gamma distribution is shown generally to fit data better than the log-normal alternative, indicating that GLMs outperform the log-linear OLS without requiring the complexity of duration models.

Suggested Citation

  • Glauber Eduardo de Oliveira Santos, 2016. "An efficient method for modelling tourists’ length of stay," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(6), pages 1367-1379, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:22:y:2016:i:6:p:1367-1379
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2015.0490
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5367/te.2015.0490
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5367/te.2015.0490?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barros, Carlos Pestana & Butler, Richard & Correia, Antónia, 2010. "The length of stay of golf tourism: A survival analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 13-21.
    2. Aliza Fleischer & Judith Rivlin (Byk), 2009. "Quality, Quantity and Duration Decisions in Household Demand for Vacations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 15(3), pages 513-530, September.
    3. Alén, Elisa & Nicolau, Juan Luis & Losada, Nieves & Domínguez, Trinidad, 2014. "Determinant factors of senior tourists’ length of stay," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 19-32.
    4. Juan Gabriel Brida & Marta Meleddu & Manuela Pulina, 2013. "Factors Influencing Length of Stay of Cultural Tourists," Tourism Economics, , vol. 19(6), pages 1273-1292, December.
    5. Manning, Willard G. & Basu, Anirban & Mullahy, John, 2005. "Generalized modeling approaches to risk adjustment of skewed outcomes data," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 465-488, May.
    6. Peypoch, Nicolas & Randriamboarison, Rado & Rasoamananjara, Fy & Solonandrasana, Bernardin, 2012. "The length of stay of tourists in Madagascar," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 1230-1235.
    7. António Gomes de Menezes & Ana Moniz & José Cabral Vieira, 2008. "The Determinants of Length of Stay of Tourists in the Azores," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(1), pages 205-222, March.
    8. Ferrer-Rosell, Berta & Martínez-Garcia, Esther & Coenders, Germà, 2014. "Package and no-frills air carriers as moderators of length of stay," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 114-122.
    9. Mario Cleves & William W. Gould & Roberto G. Gutierrez & Yulia Marchenko, 2010. "An Introduction to Survival Analysis Using Stata," Stata Press books, StataCorp LP, edition 3, number saus3, March.
    10. Manning, Willard G. & Mullahy, John, 2001. "Estimating log models: to transform or not to transform?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 461-494, July.
    11. Philip Hougaard, 1999. "Fundamentals of Survival Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 13-22, March.
    12. Grigolon, Anna B. & Borgers, Aloys W.J. & Kemperman, Astrid D.A.M. & Timmermans, Harry J.P., 2014. "Vacation length choice: A dynamic mixed multinomial logit model," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 158-167.
    13. Alegre, Joaquín & Mateo, Sara & Pou, Llorenç, 2011. "A latent class approach to tourists’ length of stay," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 555-563.
    14. Raya-Vilchez, Josep Maria & Martínez-Garcia, Esther, 2011. "Nationality and low-cost trip duration. A microeconometric analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 168-174.
    15. Luiz Pinto Machado, 2010. "Does Destination Image Influence the Length of Stay in a Tourism Destination?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(2), pages 443-456, June.
    16. Thrane, Christer, 2012. "Analyzing tourists’ length of stay at destinations with survival models: A constructive critique based on a case study," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 126-132.
    17. Thrane, Christer & Farstad, Eivind, 2011. "Domestic tourism expenditures: The non-linear effects of length of stay and travel party size," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 46-52.
    18. Christer Thrane, 2015. "On the Relationship between Length of Stay and Total Trip Expenditures: A Case Study of Instrumental Variable (IV) Regression Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(2), pages 357-367, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Paulo H A Feitosa & Amanda B A Silva, 2022. "Length of stay and satisfaction shaping the competitiveness of international business tourism in São Paulo city, Brazil," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 728-747, May.
    2. Gómez-Déniz, E. & Pérez-Rodríguez, J.V., 2019. "Modelling bimodality of length of tourist stay," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 131-151.
    3. Thrane, Christer, 2016. "Students' summer tourism: Determinants of length of stay (LOS)," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 178-184.
    4. Aguilar, Mª. Isabel & Díaz, Bárbara, 2019. "Length of stay of international tourists in Spain: A parametric survival analysis," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Fidel Martínez-Roget & José Alberto Moutela & Xosé A. Rodríguez, 2020. "Length of Stay and Sustainability: Evidence from the Schist Villages Network (SVN) in Portugal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-19, May.
    6. Ferrer-Rosell, Berta & Martínez-Garcia, Esther & Coenders, Germà, 2014. "Package and no-frills air carriers as moderators of length of stay," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 114-122.
    7. Rodríguez, Xosé A. & Martínez-Roget, Fidel & González-Murias, Pilar, 2018. "Length of stay: Evidence from Santiago de Compostela," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 9-19.
    8. Jackman, Mahalia & Lorde, Troy & Naitram, Simon & Greenaway, Tori, 2020. "Distance matters: the impact of physical and relative distance on pleasure tourists' length of stay in Barbados," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Gómez–Déniz, E. & Pérez–Rodríguez, J.V., 2019. "Modelling distribution of aggregate expenditure on tourism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 293-308.
    10. Christer Thrane, 2016. "Modelling tourists’ length of stay," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(6), pages 1352-1366, December.
    11. Carmen Pérez-Cabañero & Amparo Cervera-Taulet & Walesska Schlesinger, 2017. "Analysis of the impact of length of stay on the quality of service experience, satisfaction and loyalty," International Review on Public and Nonprofit Marketing, Springer;International Association of Public and Non-Profit Marketing, vol. 14(2), pages 253-268, June.
    12. Alén, Elisa & Nicolau, Juan Luis & Losada, Nieves & Domínguez, Trinidad, 2014. "Determinant factors of senior tourists’ length of stay," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 19-32.
    13. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & Francisco Ledesma-Rodríguez, 2021. "Unconditional quantile regression and tourism expenditure: The case of the Canary Islands," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 626-648, June.
    14. Aaron Gutiérrez & Daniel Miravet & Òscar Saladié & Salvador Anton Clavé, 2020. "High-speed rail, tourists’ destination choice and length of stay: A survival model analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(4), pages 578-597, June.
    15. Ashrafi Tannaz Alizadeh & Myrland Øystein, 2017. "Determinants of trip duration for international tourists in Norway; a parametric survival analysis," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 75-86, May.
    16. Andrea Pellegrini & Stefano Scagnolari, 2021. "The relationship between length of stay and land transportation mode in the tourism sector: A discrete–continuous framework applied to Swiss data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(1), pages 243-259, February.
    17. Thrane, Christer, 2012. "Analyzing tourists’ length of stay at destinations with survival models: A constructive critique based on a case study," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 126-132.
    18. Francesco Scotti & Andrea Flori & Piercesare Secchi & Marika Arena & Giovanni Azzone, 2024. "Heterogeneous drivers of overnight and same-day visits," Papers 2402.05679, arXiv.org.
    19. Antónia Correia & Jaime Serra & Andrés Artal-Tur, 2017. "Steady tourists’ relationship with a mature destination," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(4), pages 803-815, June.
    20. Jorge Moll-de-Alba & Lluís Prats & Lluís Coromina, 2016. "The need to adapt to travel expenditure patterns. A study comparing business and leisure tourists in Barcelona," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 6(2), pages 253-267, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:22:y:2016:i:6:p:1367-1379. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.