IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/envira/v23y1991i6p783-812.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Research Policy and Review 34: The Development of Ideas of Uncertainty Representation

Author

Listed:
  • B Tonn

    (Energy Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory¶, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USA)

Abstract

The historical range and current applications of important ideas about uncertainty are reviewed. It is undertaken for the benefit of decisionmakers and policy analysts who need to confront in a rigorous fashion complex problems that entail large uncertainties. Numerous ideas are addressed, gleaned from many disciplines, including philosophy, mathematics, and artificial intelligence, which can supplement the basic approaches to uncertainty associated with objective and subjective probability. This review of the literature highlights the need for additional research on a number of topics, including uncertainty kinematics, uncertainty representation, subjective uncertainty elicitation, and the synthesis of new approaches to uncertainty with more traditional decision analysis techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • B Tonn, 1991. "Research Policy and Review 34: The Development of Ideas of Uncertainty Representation," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 23(6), pages 783-812, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:23:y:1991:i:6:p:783-812
    DOI: 10.1068/a230783
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1068/a230783
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1068/a230783?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Schoemaker, Paul J H, 1982. "The Expected Utility Model: Its Variants, Purposes, Evidence and Limitations," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 20(2), pages 529-563, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. van Riel, A.C.R. & Lievens, A., 2003. "New service development in high tech sectors: a decision making perspective," Research Memorandum 013, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    2. Harin, Alexander, 2006. "Scientific Revolution? A Farewell to EconWPA. MPRA is welcome," MPRA Paper 71, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Gatti, Nicolas & Cecil, Michael & Baylis, Kathy & Estes, Lyndon & Blekking, Jordan & Heckelei, Thomas & Vergopolan, Noemi & Evans, Tom, 2023. "Is closing the agricultural yield gap a “risky” endeavor?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    4. Paul Downward, "undated". "Risk, Uncertainty and Inference in Post Keynesian Economics:A Realist Commentary," Working Papers 98-8, Staffordshire University, Business School.
    5. Wlömert, Nils & Papies, Dominik, 2016. "On-demand streaming services and music industry revenues — Insights from Spotify's market entry," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 314-327.
    6. Bruno S. Frey & Alois Stutzer, 2006. "Environmental Morale and Motivation," CREMA Working Paper Series 2006-17, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
    7. Hoon S. Choi & Darrell Carpenter & Myung S. Ko, 2022. "Risk Taking Behaviors Using Public Wi-Fi™," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 965-982, June.
    8. Ole Røgeberg & Morten Nordberg, 2005. "A defence of absurd theories in economics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 543-562.
    9. Luís Santos-Pinto & Adrian Bruhin & José Mata & Thomas Åstebro, 2015. "Detecting heterogeneous risk attitudes with mixed gambles," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 79(4), pages 573-600, December.
    10. Michaël Lainé, 2014. "Vers une alternative au paradigme de la rationalité ? Victoires et déboires du programme spinoziste en économie," Post-Print hal-01335618, HAL.
    11. Christopher Prendergast, 1993. "Rationality, Optimality, and Choice," Rationality and Society, , vol. 5(1), pages 47-57, January.
    12. Rasmussen, Svend, 2003. "Criteria for optimal production under uncertainty. The state-contingent approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 47(4), pages 1-30.
    13. Finkelshtain, Israel & Feinerman, Eli, 1997. "Framing the Allais paradox as a daily farm decision problem: tests and explanations," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 155-167, January.
    14. Segal, Uzi, 1987. "The Ellsberg Paradox and Risk Aversion: An Anticipated Utility Approach," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 28(1), pages 175-202, February.
    15. Richard D. Smith, 2003. "Construction of the contingent valuation market in health care:a critical assessment," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(8), pages 609-628, August.
    16. Benjamin Y. Hayden & Michael L. Platt, 2009. "The mean, the median, and the St. Petersburg paradox," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 4(4), pages 256-272, June.
    17. Ivan Moscati, 2022. "Behavioral and heuristic models are as-if models too — and that’s ok," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22177, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    18. Jacqueline de Bony, 2005. "Dutch decision as rooted in Dutch culture: An ethnologic study of the Dutch decision process," Post-Print halshs-00113147, HAL.
    19. Jan Faber & Willem Scheper, 1997. "Interdisciplinary social science: a methodological analysis," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 37-56, February.
    20. Lombard, J. P. & Kassier, W. E., 1990. "Implementering Van Die Intervalbenadering By Die Bepaling Van Besluitnemers Se Houding Teenoor Risiko," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 29(4), December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:23:y:1991:i:6:p:783-812. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.