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On Making Flexible Projections of Age-Specific Net Migration

Author

Listed:
  • D B Pittenger

    (Population, Enrollment, and Economic Studies Division, Office of Financial Management, House Office Building, Olympia, Washington 98504, USA)

Abstract

Traditional methods of projecting age-specific migration for local areas are based on inflexible migration patterns. Ideally, forecast results should be isomorphic with the intent of the forecaster, so flexible models are called for. To this end, a parameterized model that incorporates directional flows is presented along with a theoretical scheme for its operation. It is asserted that the new model provides much of the needed flexibility, but at the cost of added complexity.

Suggested Citation

  • D B Pittenger, 1978. "On Making Flexible Projections of Age-Specific Net Migration," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 10(11), pages 1253-1272, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:10:y:1978:i:11:p:1253-1272
    DOI: 10.1068/a101253
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. M. Cordey‐Hayes & D. Gleave, 1974. "Migration Movements And The Differential Growth Of City Regions In England And Wales," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(1), pages 99-123, January.
    2. Peter Morrison, 1971. "Chronic movers and the future redistribution of population: A longitudinal analysis," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 8(2), pages 171-184, May.
    3. Greenwood, Michael J, 1975. "Research on Internal Migration in the United States: A Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 397-433, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Patrice Dion, 2017. "An Alternative to Fixed Transition Probabilities for the Projection of Interprovincial Migration in Canada," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 36(6), pages 871-901, December.

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