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Carbon Intensity and the Cost of Equity Capital

Author

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  • Arjan Trinks
  • Gbenga Ibikunle
  • Machiel Mulder
  • Bert Scholtens

Abstract

The transition from high- to lower-carbon production systems increasingly creates regulatory and market risks for high-emitting firms. We test to what extent equity market investors demand a premium to compensate for such risks and thus might raise firms’ cost of equity capital (CoE). Using data for 1,897 firms spanning 50 countries over the years 2008-2016, we find a distinct and robust positive impact of carbon intensity (carbon emissions per unit of output) on CoE: On average, a standard deviation higher (sector-adjusted) carbon intensity is associated with a CoE premium of 6 (9) basis points or 1.7% (2.6%). This effect is primarily explained by systematic risk factors: high-emitting assets are significantly more sensitive to economy-wide fluctuations than low-emitting ones. The CoE impact of carbon intensity is more pronounced in high-emitting sectors, EU countries, and firms subject to carbon pricing regulation. Our results suggest that carbon emission reduction might serve as a valuable risk mitigation strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Arjan Trinks & Gbenga Ibikunle & Machiel Mulder & Bert Scholtens, 2022. "Carbon Intensity and the Cost of Equity Capital," The Energy Journal, , vol. 43(2), pages 181-214, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:43:y:2022:i:2:p:181-214
    DOI: 10.5547/01956574.43.2.atri
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Dandan Ma & Pengxiang Zhai & Dayong Zhang & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Excess stock returns and corporate environmental performance in China," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, December.
    5. Bein, Murad A., 2026. "Dynamic interrelations and the potential of global industrial sectors to function as a refuge for the global transition towards a low-carbon economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Liu, Pei-Zhi & Narayan, Seema, 2024. "Is the carbon emission trading scheme conducive to promoting energy transition? Some empirical evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    7. Hambel, Christoph & van der Sanden, Floor, 2025. "Reevaluating the carbon premium: Evidence of green outperformance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Wang, Yifei & Zhang, Yingying, 2025. "Economic policy uncertainty, carbon risk and China's stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    9. Nasrallah, Nohade & El Khoury, Rim & Atayah, Osama F. & Marashdeh, Hazem & Najaf, Khakan, 2025. "The impact of carbon awareness, country-governance, and innovation on the cost of equity: Evidence from oil and gas firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB).
    10. Yan, Jingjing & Guo, Yaoqi & Wen, Fenghua, 2025. "Carbon risk and the cost of equity capital: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

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