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The effect of the transfer dynamics of the ruble exchange rate in prices in Russian industries

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  • Ponomarev, Yuri

    () (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

Abstract

This article analyzes the effect of the transfer dynamics of the ruble exchange rate in producer prices of industrial products in the Russian economy during the 2000-2014 period. To obtain estimates of the effect of the transfer, in the short and medium term at the level of various economic activities and identify the main determinants of this effect is used by the authors constructed a model error correction. The results show that the effect of transferring the exchange rate in producer prices in Russia is quite high, and the immediate "transfer" of exchange rate fluctuations in producer prices is fast enough. Thus there is considerable heterogeneity in the effect of the transfer of economic activity caused by varying degrees of use of imported goods as component parts and equipment.

Suggested Citation

  • Ponomarev, Yuri, 2015. "The effect of the transfer dynamics of the ruble exchange rate in prices in Russian industries," Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 5, pages 53-70.
  • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep1558
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Michael M. Knetter, 1997. "Goods Prices and Exchange Rates: What Have We Learned?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(3), pages 1243-1272, September.
    2. Maurice Obstfeld, 2001. "International Macroeconomics: Beyond the Mundell-Fleming Model," NBER Working Papers 8369, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Marston, Richard C., 1990. "Pricing to market in Japanese manufacturing," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3-4), pages 217-236, November.
    4. José Manuel Campa & Linda S. Goldberg, 2005. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 679-690, November.
    5. Menon, Jayant, 1995. "The Relationship between the Law of One Price and Exchange Rate Pass-through," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 48(4), pages 551-568.
    6. Hahn, Elke, 2007. "The impact of exchange rate shocks on sectoral activity and prices in the euro area," Working Paper Series 796, European Central Bank.
    7. Knetter, Michael M., 1994. "Is export price adjustment asymmetric?: evaluating the market share and marketing bottlenecks hypotheses," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 55-70, February.
    8. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2001. "The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?," NBER Chapters,in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 339-412 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Y. Ponomarev & P. Trunin & A. Ulyukayev., 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Russia," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 3.
    10. Stanley W. Kardasz & Kenneth R. Stollery, 2001. "Exchange rate pass-through and its determinants in Canadian manufacturing industries," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 34(3), pages 719-738, August.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    carryover effect; inflation; monetary policy; vector error correction model;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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