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Hodrick–Prescott, Goodwin y ciclos económicos en Bolivia

Listed author(s):
  • Villegas, Horacio


    (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

  • Rubín de Celis, Raúl


    (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

  • Aliaga, Javier


    (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

Los ciclos económicos no tienen un comportamiento idéntico en el corto y largo plazo, mostrando que no existe equilibrio ni de corto ni largo plazo. La causa principal de la inestabilidad es la incidencia de las fuerzas exógenas en la economía doméstica. Un posible aumento de estas fuerzas exógenas hace que los ciclos del producto sean cada vez más inestables. La interacción del acelerador con la propensión marginal a ahorrar y el tiempo que se dedica a la producción de nuevos bienes de capital y consumo, pueden minimizar el efecto de las fuerzas exógenas. La interacción anteriormente mencionada se la puede aproximar como el ambiente de la inversión; cuanto más alta ésta sea, mayor será la posibilidad de reducir posibles choques externos.

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Article provided by Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana in its journal Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico.

Volume (Year): (2011)
Issue (Month): 16 (Noviembre)
Pages: 29-38

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Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1602
Contact details of provider: Postal:
Universidad católica Boliviana San Pablo, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas, Av. 14 de septiembre 4807. Obrajes, La Paz, Bolivia

Phone: (591-2) 784159
Fax: (591-2) 786707
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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
  2. P.C. Chakravarti, 1970. "Editor," China Report, , vol. 6(1), pages 1-1, January.
  3. Agustín Maravall & Ana del Río, 2001. "Time Aggregation and the Hodrick-Prescott Filter," Working Papers 0108, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
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