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Hodrick–Prescott, Goodwin y ciclos económicos en Bolivia

Author

Listed:
  • Villegas, Horacio

    () (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

  • Rubín de Celis, Raúl

    () (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

  • Aliaga, Javier

    () (Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas (IISEC))

Abstract

Los ciclos económicos no tienen un comportamiento idéntico en el corto y largo plazo, mostrando que no existe equilibrio ni de corto ni largo plazo. La causa principal de la inestabilidad es la incidencia de las fuerzas exógenas en la economía doméstica. Un posible aumento de estas fuerzas exógenas hace que los ciclos del producto sean cada vez más inestables. La interacción del acelerador con la propensión marginal a ahorrar y el tiempo que se dedica a la producción de nuevos bienes de capital y consumo, pueden minimizar el efecto de las fuerzas exógenas. La interacción anteriormente mencionada se la puede aproximar como el ambiente de la inversión; cuanto más alta ésta sea, mayor será la posibilidad de reducir posibles choques externos.

Suggested Citation

  • Villegas, Horacio & Rubín de Celis, Raúl & Aliaga, Javier, 2011. "Hodrick–Prescott, Goodwin y ciclos económicos en Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana, issue 16, pages 29-38, Noviembre.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1602
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
    2. P.C. Chakravarti, 1970. "Editor," China Report, , vol. 6(1), pages 1-1, January.
    3. Agustín Maravall & Ana del Río, 2001. "Time Aggregation and the Hodrick-Prescott Filter," Working Papers 0108, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ciclos económicos; equilibrio; estabilidad; corto plazo; largo plazo; acelerador; no linealidad; inestabilidad; caos;

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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