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Measuring market liquidity risk - which model works best?

Author

Listed:
  • Cornelia Ernst
  • Sebastian Stange
  • Christoph Kaserer

    (Technische Universitat Munchen)

Abstract

Market liquidity risk, the difficulty or cost of trading assets in crises, has been recognized as an important factor in risk management. The literature has already proposed several models to include liquidity risk in the standard Value-at-Risk framework. While theoretical comparisons between those models have been conducted, their empirical performance has yet to be benchmarked. This paper performs comparative back-testings of daily risk forecasts for a large selection of liquidity risk models. In a comprehensive 5.5-year stock sample we show which model provides the most accurate results and provide detailed recommendations about which model is most suitable in a specific situation.

Suggested Citation

  • Cornelia Ernst & Sebastian Stange & Christoph Kaserer, 2012. "Measuring market liquidity risk - which model works best?," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 35, pages 133-146.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:jofitr:1534
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    2. Becchetti, L. & Ferrari, M. & Trenta, U., 2014. "The impact of the French Tobin tax," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 127-148.
    3. Kylie-Anne Richards & Gareth W. Peters & William Dunsmuir, 2015. "Heavy-tailed features and dependence in limit order book volume profiles in futures markets," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(03), pages 1-56.
    4. Strašek Sebastjan & Bricelj Bor, 2016. "Spread and Liquidity Issues: A markets comparison," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 62(1), pages 3-11, March.
    5. Holmberg, Ulf, 2012. "Essays on Credit Markets and Banking," Umeå Economic Studies 840, Umeå University, Department of Economics.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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