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A Note on the Relationship between Public and Private Investment in Brazil

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  • Joao Paulo Rios e Silva
  • Elano Ferreira Arruda

Abstract

This study reexamines the relationship between public investment and private investment in Brazil from January 2007 to February 2023, with a focus on the asymmetries observed during periods of elevated public debt. The findings indicate that the effects of public investment—whether substitution (crowding-out) or complementarity (crowding-in) with private investment—are contingent upon the prevailing economic conditions. Specifically, in contexts of high public debt, crowding-out effects tend to dominate. The analysis underscores the importance of aligning public investment programs with the country’s fiscal and debt dynamics. Failure to do so may undermine their effectiveness, given the asymmetric nature of these interactions.

Suggested Citation

  • Joao Paulo Rios e Silva & Elano Ferreira Arruda, 2025. "A Note on the Relationship between Public and Private Investment in Brazil," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 1-9, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:12:y:2025:i:2:p:1-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Cláudia Maria Sonaglio & Marcelo José Braga & Antonio Carvalho Campos, 2010. "Investimento Público e Privado no Brasil: Evidências dos Efeitos Crowding-In e Crowding-Out no Período 1995-2006," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 11(2), pages 383-401.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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