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Une étude de comptabilité générationnelle pour la France en 1996

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  • Jérôme Accardo

Abstract

[eng] A generational accounting study for France in 1996.. This paper presents an application to France, in 1996, of the "generational accounting method" developed by Auerbach, Kotlikoff and Gokhale. The essential features of this approach are first outlined. The paper then turns to the problems raised by implementation in the case of France and explores the robustness issue : the sensitivity of the results to the numerous assumptions. Generational accounting provides a useful framework for long-term analysis of fiscal policy, but its "generational imbalance" approach seems fairly unconvincing. [fre] Cette note est consacrée à l'application à la France, pour l'année 1996, de la méthode de "comptabilité générationnelle" proposée par Auerbach, Gokhale et Kotlikoff. Onfournit d'abord un exposé succinct de la méthode. Ondiscute ensuite les difficultés pratiques de sa mise en oeuvre dans le cas de la France : on analyse ainsi la robustesse des résultats à différentes hypothèses. La comptabilité générationnelle fournit un cadre utile à l'analyse de long terme des politiques budgétaires. Mais son approche en termes de "déséquilibre intergénérationnel" apparaît assez peu convaincante.

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  • Jérôme Accardo, 2002. "Une étude de comptabilité générationnelle pour la France en 1996," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 154(3), pages 43-58.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_2002_num_154_3_6385
    DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2002.6385
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.2002.6385
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Auerbach, A.J. & Gokhale, J. & Kotlikoff, L.J. & Steigum, E.Jr., 1993. "Generational Accounting in Norway: Is Norway Overconsuming its Petroleum Wealth?," Papers 06-93, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration-.
    2. repec:bla:scandj:v:94:y:1992:i:2:p:303-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Franco, D. & Gokhale, J. & Guiso, L. & Kotlikoff, L.J. & Sartor, N., 1991. "Generational Accounting - The Case of Italy," Papers 18, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    4. Quang Chi Dinh, 1994. "La population de la France à l'horizon 2050," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 274(1), pages 7-32.
    5. Hans Fehr & Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Willi Leibfritz, 1999. "Generational Accounting in General Equilibrium," NBER Chapters, in: Generational Accounting around the World, pages 43-72, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. John Ablett, 1996. "Generational Accounting—An Australian Perspective," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 42(1), pages 91-105, March.
    7. Christoph John & Mr. Robert P. Hagemann, 1995. "The Fiscal Stance in Sweden: A Generational Accounting Perspective," IMF Working Papers 1995/105, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Robert Haveman, 1994. "Should Generational Accounts Replace Public Budgets and Deficits?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 95-111, Winter.
    9. W.H. Buiter, 1995. "Generational Accounts," CEP Discussion Papers dp0237, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    10. Laurent Caussat & Michel Glaude, 1993. "Dépenses médicales et couverture sociale," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 265(1), pages 31-43.
    11. Jagadeesh Gokhale & Bernd Raffelhuschen & Jan Walliser, 1994. "The burden of German unification: a generational accounting approach," Working Papers (Old Series) 9412, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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    1. Hippolyte d’Albis & Carole Bonnet & Julien Navaux & Jacques Pelletan & François-Charles Wolff, 2017. "Lifecycle deficit in France: an assessment for the period 1979-2011," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 491-492, pages 47-70.

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