IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0337444.html

The quantile time–frequency connectedness of economic policy uncertainty between China and the G7 countries

Author

Listed:
  • Jizhi Zhao
  • Guangfu Chen
  • Ying Song

Abstract

Most of the existing studies on the connectedness among economic policy uncertainties (EPUs) usually neglect the quantile and frequency domain perspectives. To address this limitation, this paper proposes a quantile time–frequency connectedness model to analyze the connectedness among EPUs by combining the quantile and frequency domain dimensions. First, the quantile-vector autoregressive model (QVAR(p)) is estimated and converted into the quantile-vector moving average representation (QVMA(∞)). Next, the generalized prediction error variance decomposition (GFEVD) is computed, from which various types of time-domain connectedness metrics are calculated. Finally, the spectral decomposition method is used to compute frequency-domain connectedness metrics and establish a link between time- and frequency-domain metrics. The empirical results of this paper, based on the sample data of China and G7 countries, reveal several important findings. The EPU of the United States acts as a net transmitter of shocks in both the short and long term, whereas China functions as a net receiver of shocks. The total connectedness index (TCI) demonstrates significant heterogeneity, with its dynamics primarily driven by short-term rather than long-term components. Additionally, connectedness shows substantial improvement under extreme conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Jizhi Zhao & Guangfu Chen & Ying Song, 2025. "The quantile time–frequency connectedness of economic policy uncertainty between China and the G7 countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(12), pages 1-20, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0337444
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0337444
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0337444
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0337444&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0337444?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael Siemer & Adrien Verdelhan & Francois Gourio, 2015. "Uncertainty and International Capital Flows," 2015 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tarek A Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(4), pages 2135-2202.
    2. Bai, Chenjiang & Duan, Yuejiao & Liu, Congya & Qiu, Leiju, 2022. "International taxation sentiment and COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Yu, Xiaojian & Li, Zhiyong & Lien, Donald & Hu, Jinqiang, 2024. "Identifying crucial financial markets in the flows of cross-border capital – evidence from China's financial risk network," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    4. Christian Friedrich & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "The Dynamics of Capital Flow Episodes," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(5), pages 969-1003, August.
    5. Benhima, Kenza & Cordonier, Rachel, 2022. "News, sentiment and capital flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    6. Choi, Sangyup & Ciminelli, Gabriele & Furceri, Davide, 2023. "Is domestic uncertainty a local pull factor driving foreign capital inflows? New cross-country evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    7. Gad, Mahmoud & Nikolaev, Valeri & Tahoun, Ahmed & van Lent, Laurence, 2024. "Firm-level political risk and credit markets," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2).
    8. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Chatjuthamard, Pattanaporn & Mook Lee, Sang & Kim, Young S. & Jiraporn, Pornsit & Potosky, Denise, 2024. "Climate change and shareholder value: Evidence from textual analysis and Trump’s unexpected victory," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    10. Agustin Benetrix & Michael Curran, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and the Cross-Border Funding of Banks: Unmasking Heterogeneity," Trinity Economics Papers tep0920, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    11. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide, 2019. "Uncertainty and cross-border banking flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 260-274.
    12. Kollmann, Robert, 2016. "International business cycles and risk sharing with uncertainty shocks and recursive preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 115-124.
    13. Ric Colacito & Mariano M. Croce & Federico Gavazzoni & Robert Ready, 2018. "Currency Risk Factors in a Recursive Multicountry Economy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(6), pages 2719-2756, December.
    14. Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard & Sirimon Treepongkaruna & Pornsit Jiraporn & Napatsorn Jiraporn, 2021. "Does firm‐level political risk influence corporate social responsibility (CSR)? Evidence from earnings conference calls," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 721-741, November.
    15. M. Kabir Hassan & M. Sydul Karim & Tarun Mukherjee, 2023. "Does corporate diversification retrench the effects of firm‐level political risk?," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 663-702, November.
    16. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2021. "Policy uncertainty and foreign direct investment," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 195-227, May.
    17. Robert Kollmann, 2016. "Risk Sharing, the Exchange Rate and Net Foreign Assets in a World Economy with Uncertainty Shocks," 2016 Meeting Papers 721, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Yang Liu & Mariano Croce & Ivan Shaliastovich & Ric Colacito, 2016. "Volatility Risk Pass-Through," 2016 Meeting Papers 135, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Policy Uncertainty and FDI Flows: The Role of Institutional Quality and Financial Development," Working papers 2019rwp-144, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    20. Gao, Xiang & Hu, Yichuan & Wang, Huanhuan & Wang, Xiaohu, 2022. "Brexit and global equity fund capital reallocation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0337444. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.