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Niche shifts and the potential distribution of Phenacoccus solenopsis (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under climate change

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  • Jiufeng Wei
  • Hufang Zhang
  • Wanqing Zhao
  • Qing Zhao

Abstract

The cotton mealybug, Phenacoccus solenopsis Tinsley (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae), is a serious invasive species that significantly damages plants of approximately 60 families around the world. It is originally from North America and has also been introduced to other continents. Our goals were to create a current and future potential global distribution map for this pest under climate change with MaxEnt software. We tested the hypothesis of niche conservatism for P. solenopsis by comparing its native niche in North America to its invasive niches on other continents using Principal components analyses (PCA) in R. The potentially suitable habitat for P. solenopsis in its native and non-native ranges is presented in the present paper. The results suggested that the mean temperature of the wettest quarter and the mean temperature of the driest quarter are the most important environmental variables determining the potential distribution of P. solenopsis. We found strong evidence for niche shifts in the realized climatic niche of this pest in South America and Australia due to niche unfilling; however, a niche shift in the realized climatic niche of this pest in Eurasian owing to niche expansion.

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  • Jiufeng Wei & Hufang Zhang & Wanqing Zhao & Qing Zhao, 2017. "Niche shifts and the potential distribution of Phenacoccus solenopsis (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under climate change," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0180913
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0180913
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    1. Mirko Di Febbraro & Peter W W Lurz & Piero Genovesi & Luigi Maiorano & Marco Girardello & Sandro Bertolino, 2013. "The Use of Climatic Niches in Screening Procedures for Introduced Species to Evaluate Risk of Spread: A Case with the American Eastern Grey Squirrel," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(7), pages 1-10, July.
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    2. Bipin Kumar Acharya & Chunxiang Cao & Min Xu & Laxman Khanal & Shahid Naeem & Shreejana Pandit, 2018. "Present and Future of Dengue Fever in Nepal: Mapping Climatic Suitability by Ecological Niche Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-15, January.

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