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What is a heat wave: A survey and literature synthesis of heat wave definitions across the United States

Author

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  • Erin L Bunting
  • Vasily Tolmanov
  • David Keellings

Abstract

Heat waves are the last extreme weather events without a formal, on the books, definition. Instead, across the U.S. those working on extreme heat event management, forecasting, and planning are using differing definitions in their work. With such differing definitions being used there are widespread impacts including some to human and environmental health, natural resource management, and long-term emergency management planning. For instance, when should heat advisories for vulnerable populations be released when an event impacts a region using multiple definitions? There are concrete and justifiable reasons for the lack of a formal heat wave definition including, at its simplest, differences in what temperature is extreme enough, compared to the region’s climatological regimens, to be deemed as an extreme heat event or heat wave. This study looks for patterns and commonalities in emergency managers and climatologists, those most commonly addressing or planning for such events, definition of heat wave events through a review of the literature and widespread survey across the United States. Through a short 11-questions survey and subsequent text mining, we find widespread variability in the common heat wave definitions but a consistent pattern of core key term usage including aspects of heat duration, extreme temperature, and humidity. However, we also see little to no usage of non-climatological variables such as exposure, vulnerability, population, and land cover/land use.

Suggested Citation

  • Erin L Bunting & Vasily Tolmanov & David Keellings, 2024. "What is a heat wave: A survey and literature synthesis of heat wave definitions across the United States," PLOS Climate, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(9), pages 1-17, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pclm00:0000468
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000468
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Karen Smoyer-Tomic & Robyn Kuhn & Alana Hudson, 2003. "Heat Wave Hazards: An Overview of Heat Wave Impacts in Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 28(2), pages 465-486, March.
    3. Dana Habeeb & Jason Vargo & Brian Stone, 2015. "Rising heat wave trends in large US cities," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(3), pages 1651-1665, April.
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