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How Meaningful are Statements about the Desired Number of Additional Children? An Analysis of 1968 Pakistani Data

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  • M. ALl KHAN

    (Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore(Md., USA))

  • I. SIRAGELDIN

    (Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore(Md., USA))

Abstract

In this paper we present a methodology for studying the desired number of additional children. Our methodology involves a generalization of our earlier work and an application of the estimator proposed by Heckman and the two-stage simultaneous Tobit estimator proposed by Nelson and Olson. Recent analyses of desired additional fertility have limited themselves to a dependent variable which is dichotomous, taking the value of one if the respondent wants additional children and of zero otherwise.l However, these studies ignore the information which is typically available. It is usual in most KAP surveys2 to follow up a respondent's response indicating his/her willingnessto have additional children by a further question as to their desired number. Any estimates based on reducing these responses to a single number are obviously inefficient. It is the object of this paper to provide estimates, based on 1968 Pakistani data, which are free from these difficulties.

Suggested Citation

  • M. ALl KHAN & I. SIRAGELDIN, 1983. "How Meaningful are Statements about the Desired Number of Additional Children? An Analysis of 1968 Pakistani Data," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 22(1), pages 1-22.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:22:y:1983:i:1:p:1-22
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Keeley, Michael C, 1975. "A Comment on "An Interpretation of the Economic Theory of Fertility."," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 461-468, June.
    2. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1973. "Regression Analysis when the Dependent Variable is Truncated Normal," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(6), pages 997-1016, November.
    3. Judith Blake, 1974. "Can we believe recent data on birth expectations in the United States?," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 11(1), pages 25-44, February.
    4. Theodore W. Schultz, 1974. "Economics of the Family: Marriage, Children, and Human Capital," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number schu74-1, March.
    5. Mark Rosenzweig & Daniel Seiver, 1975. "Comment on N. K. Namboodiri’s “which couples at given parities expect to have additional births? an exercise in discriminant analysis”," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 12(4), pages 665-668, November.
    6. M. Khan & Ismail Sirageldin, 1977. "Son preference and the demand for additional children in pakistan," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 14(4), pages 481-495, November.
    7. Lee, Lung-fei & Maddala, G S & Trost, R P, 1980. "Asymptotic Covariance Matrices of Two-Stage Probit and Two-Stage Tobit Methods for Simultaneous Equations Models with Selectivity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(2), pages 491-503, March.
    8. Charles Westoff & Norman Ryder, 1977. "The Predictive Validity Of Reproductive Intentions," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 14(4), pages 431-453, November.
    9. Leibenstein, Harvey, 1975. "On the Economic Theory of Fertility: A Reply to Keeley," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 469-472, June.
    10. repec:ucp:bknber:9780226740867 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Lolagene Coombs, 1974. "The measurement of family size preferences and subsequent fertility," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 11(4), pages 587-611, November.
    12. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1979. "The Estimation of a Simultaneous-Equation Tobit Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 20(1), pages 169-181, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hina Nazli & Shahnaz Hamid, 1999. "Concerns of Food Security, Role of Gender and Intra-household Dynamics in Pakistan," PIDE Research Report 1999:3, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.

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