IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/palcom/v12y2025i1d10.1057_s41599-025-04555-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Well-being horizons for silver and golden ages: an application of traditional and fuzzy Markov chains

Author

Listed:
  • Qi Guo

    (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Statistical Data Science Group)

  • Irene Albarrán

    (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Statistical Data Science Group)

  • Pablo J. Alonso-González

    (Universidad de Alcalá, Statistical Data Science Group)

  • Aurea Grané

    (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Statistical Data Science Group)

Abstract

European societies are currently in a process of population ageing. Although this is the general trend, it would be desirable to know whether the characteristics and intensity of this ageing process are homogeneous in all European countries. In this work, information coming from three macro-surveys (or waves) of the Survey on Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe is used for Denmark, Germany, Poland and Spain, as the basis for a longitudinal well-being and dependency indicator with the aim of studying whether the characteristics of ageing are similar in these regions. First, long-term population distributions are obtained according to the scores of the aforementioned indicator. Next, classical and fuzzy Markov chains are used to estimate steady-state distributions regarding age group, gender, country and wave. Finally, by means of a proper metric for probability distributions, steady-state distributions are clustered in different profiles, which leads us to conclude that the ageing process is not homogeneous among the studied populations.

Suggested Citation

  • Qi Guo & Irene Albarrán & Pablo J. Alonso-González & Aurea Grané, 2025. "Well-being horizons for silver and golden ages: an application of traditional and fuzzy Markov chains," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:12:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-025-04555-y
    DOI: 10.1057/s41599-025-04555-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41599-025-04555-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41599-025-04555-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Epskamp, Sacha & Cramer, Angélique O.J. & Waldorp, Lourens J. & Schmittmann, Verena D. & Borsboom, Denny, 2012. "qgraph: Network Visualizations of Relationships in Psychometric Data," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 48(i04).
    2. Carol Graham & Soumya Chattopadhyay, 2013. "Gender and well-being around the world," International Journal of Happiness and Development, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(2), pages 212-232.
    3. Suganthi, L. & Iniyan, S. & Samuel, Anand A., 2015. "Applications of fuzzy logic in renewable energy systems – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 585-607.
    4. Arigo, Danielle & Ainsworth, M. Cole & Pasko, Kristen & Brown, Megan M. & Travers, Laura, 2021. "Predictors of change in BMI over 10 years among midlife and older adults: Associations with gender, CVD risk status, depressive symptoms, and social support," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    5. Ohrnberger, Julius & Fichera, Eleonora & Sutton, Matt, 2017. "The relationship between physical and mental health: A mediation analysis," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 42-49.
    6. Maria Symeonaki, 2015. "Theory of fuzzy non homogeneous Markov systems with fuzzy states," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(6), pages 2369-2385, November.
    7. Chen, S.X. & Gooi, H.B. & Wang, M.Q., 2013. "Solar radiation forecast based on fuzzy logic and neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 195-201.
    8. Brecht Verbeken & Marie-Anne Guerry, 2021. "Discrete Time Hybrid Semi-Markov Models in Manpower Planning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(14), pages 1-13, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Georgia Mangion & Melanie Simmonds-Buckley & Stephen Kellett & Peter Taylor & Amy Degnan & Charlotte Humphrey & Kate Freshwater & Marisa Poggioli & Cristina Fiorani, 2022. "Modelling Identity Disturbance: A Network Analysis of the Personality Structure Questionnaire (PSQ)," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-17, October.
    2. Churchill, Rejoice E.A. & Asante, Augustine, 2024. "Locus of control and the long-term effects of parental smoking on mental health," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 361(C).
    3. Fouad Agramelal & Mohamed Sadik & Youssef Moubarak & Saad Abouzahir, 2023. "Smart Street Light Control: A Review on Methods, Innovations, and Extended Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-42, November.
    4. Al-Falahi, Monaaf D.A. & Jayasinghe, Shantha D.G. & Enshaei, Hossein, 2019. "Hybrid algorithm for optimal operation of hybrid energy systems in electric ferries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    5. Mohanty, Sthitapragyan & Patra, Prashanta K. & Sahoo, Sudhansu S. & Mohanty, Asit, 2017. "Forecasting of solar energy with application for a growing economy like India: Survey and implication," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 539-553.
    6. Hannan, M.A. & Ali, Jamal A. & Mohamed, Azah & Hussain, Aini, 2018. "Optimization techniques to enhance the performance of induction motor drives: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 1611-1626.
    7. Ping-Huan Kuo & Chiou-Jye Huang, 2018. "A Green Energy Application in Energy Management Systems by an Artificial Intelligence-Based Solar Radiation Forecasting Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-15, April.
    8. Charness, Gary & Le Bihan, Yves & Villeval, Marie Claire, 2024. "Mindfulness training, cognitive performance and stress reduction," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 207-226.
    9. Shaker, Hamid & Manfre, Daniel & Zareipour, Hamidreza, 2020. "Forecasting the aggregated output of a large fleet of small behind-the-meter solar photovoltaic sites," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 1861-1869.
    10. Nonnenmacher, Lukas & Kaur, Amanpreet & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2016. "Day-ahead resource forecasting for concentrated solar power integration," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 866-876.
    11. Denny Borsboom, 2022. "Possible Futures for Network Psychometrics," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(1), pages 253-265, March.
    12. Jayawickreme, Nuwan & Mootoo, Candace & Fountain, Christine & Rasmussen, Andrew & Jayawickreme, Eranda & Bertuccio, Rebecca F., 2017. "Post-conflict struggles as networks of problems: A network analysis of trauma, daily stressors and psychological distress among Sri Lankan war survivors," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 119-132.
    13. Kara Mostefa Khelil, Chérifa & Amrouche, Badia & Benyoucef, Abou soufiane & Kara, Kamel & Chouder, Aissa, 2020. "New Intelligent Fault Diagnosis (IFD) approach for grid-connected photovoltaic systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    14. Zhou, Jianhua & Zhang, Lulu & Gong, Xue, 2023. "Longitudinal network relations between symptoms of problematic internet game use and internalizing and externalizing problems among Chinese early adolescents," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    15. Xiang Kang & Mingxi Du & Siqin Wang & Haifeng Du, 2022. "Exploring the Effect of Health on Migrants’ Social Integration in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-20, April.
    16. repec:osf:osfxxx:ha4cw_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Mihail Halachev & Viktoria-Eleni Gountouna & Alison Meynert & Gannie Tzoneva & Alan R. Shuldiner & Colin A. Semple & James F. Wilson, 2024. "Regionally enriched rare deleterious exonic variants in the UK and Ireland," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    18. Md Alamgir Hossain & Hemanshu Roy Pota & Walid Issa & Md Jahangir Hossain, 2017. "Overview of AC Microgrid Controls with Inverter-Interfaced Generations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-27, August.
    19. Burgaç, Alper & Yavuz, Hakan, 2019. "Fuzzy Logic based hybrid type control implementation of a heaving wave energy converter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1202-1214.
    20. Levinsky, Michal & Schiff, Miriam, 2021. "Lifetime cumulative adversity and physical health deterioration in old age: Evidence from a fourteen-year longitudinal study," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).
    21. Yi-Lung Chen & Hsing-Ying Ho & Ray C. Hsiao & Wei-Hsin Lu & Cheng-Fang Yen, 2020. "Correlations between Quality of Life, School Bullying, and Suicide in Adolescents with Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-12, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:12:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-025-04555-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.nature.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.