IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ovi/oviste/vxxy2020i1p50-60.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Chinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo

    (University of Lagos)

  • Matthew Ikechukwu Ogbuagu

    (Federal University Oye-Ekiti)

  • Onyebuchi Iwegbu

    (University of Lagos)

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamic effects of coronavirus pandemic on the global economy by pitching its searchlights on the demand and supply shocks. The study employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) technique and Granger causality test; the Granger causality test revealed that COVID-19 pandemic does not trigger change in regional stock markets and commodity prices within these regions; except for the price of natural gas which changed as a result of the COVID19 pandemic in Europe. Besides the EURONEXT market in Eastern Mediterranean region, the impulse response shows that other regional stock markets responded positively to shocks in daily report of COVID-19 confirmed cases. The study concludes that within the study period, the HSBC’s stock index was the worst-hit. Economies must embrace aggressive efforts at developing COVID19 vaccine as well as coordinated policy measures at increasing the stock market pause above 15 minutes whenever stock prices fall below the lower bound threshold.

Suggested Citation

  • Chinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo & Matthew Ikechukwu Ogbuagu & Onyebuchi Iwegbu, 2020. "Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 50-60, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xx:y:2020:i:1:p:50-60
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://stec.univ-ovidius.ro/html/anale/RO/2020/Section%201/7.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luca Fornaro & Martin Wolf, 2020. "Covid-19 coronavirus and macroeconomic policy," Economics Working Papers 1713, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    2. John E. Ataguba, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic, a War to be Won: Understanding its Economic Implications for Africa," Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 325-328, June.
    3. Lembke B., 1918. "√ a. p," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 111(1), pages 709-712, February.
    4. Faria-e-Castro, Miguel, 2021. "Fiscal policy during a pandemic," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anasuya Haldar & Narayan Sethi, 2022. "The Economic Effects Of Covid-19 Mitigation Policies On Unemployment And Economic Policy Uncertainty," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(Special I), pages 61-84, March.
    2. Lukman O. Oyelami & Matthew I. Ogbuagu & Olufemi M. Saibu, 2022. "Dynamic Interaction of COVID-19 Incidence and Stock Market Performance: Evidence from Nigeria," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 9(5), pages 1009-1023, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Charles A.E. Goodhart & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos & Xuan Wang, 2023. "Support for small businesses amid COVID‐19," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(358), pages 612-652, April.
    2. Velasco, Andrés & Chang, Roberto, 2020. "Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods," CEPR Discussion Papers 14614, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. David Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi, 2020. "Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 27281, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Philipp Pfeiffer & Werner Roeger & Jan in ’t Veld, 2020. "The COVID19-Pandemic in the EU: Macroeconomic Transmission and Economic Policy Response," European Economy - Discussion Papers 127, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    5. De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Forecasting macroeconomic risk in real time: Great and Covid-19 Recessions," Working Paper Series 2436, European Central Bank.
    6. Croce, Mariano & Farroni, Paolo & Wolfskeil, Isabella, 2020. "When the Markets Get COVID: COntagion, Viruses, and Information Diffusion," CEPR Discussion Papers 14674, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Felipe Céspedes, Luis & Chang, Roberto & Velasco, Andrés, 2022. "The macroeconomics of a pandemic: A minimalist framework," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    8. Garriga, Carlos & Manuelli, Rody & Sanghi, Siddhartha, 2022. "Optimal management of an epidemic: Lockdown, vaccine and value of life," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    9. Davide Furceri & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2021. "Initial Output Losses from the Covid-19 Pandemic: Robust Determinants," IMF Working Papers 2021/018, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Ferragina, Anna Maria & Iandolo, Stefano, 2022. "Reacting to the economic fallout of the COVID-19: Evidence on debt exposure and asset management of Italian firms," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 530-547.
    11. Didier, Tatiana & Huneeus, Federico & Larrain, Mauricio & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2021. "Financing firms in hibernation during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    12. Enrique G. Mendoza & Eugenio Rojas & Linda L. Tesar & Jing Zhang, 2023. "A Macroeconomic Model of Healthcare Saturation, Inequality and the Output–Pandemia Trade-off," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 243-299, March.
    13. Marco Di Pietro & Luigi Marattin & Raoul Minetti, 2020. "Fiscal Policies Amid a Pandemic: The Response of Italy to the COVID-19 Crisis," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 73(3), pages 927-950, September.
    14. Mahata, Sushobhan & Khan, Rohan Kanti & Chaudhuri, Sarbajit & Nag, Ranjanendra Narayan, 2022. "COVID-19 lockdown, family migration and unemployment in a gendered society," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 218-236.
    15. Francesco Busato & Bruno Chiarini & Gianluigi Cisco & Maria Ferrara & Elisabetta Marzano, 2020. "Lockdown Policies: A Macrodynamic Perspective for Covid-19," CESifo Working Paper Series 8465, CESifo.
    16. Christian Bayer & Benjamin Born & Ralph Luetticke & Gernot J Müller, 2023. "The Coronavirus Stimulus Package: How Large is the Transfer Multiplier," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(652), pages 1318-1347.
    17. Ricardo J Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2021. "A Model of Endogenous Risk Intolerance and LSAPs: Asset Prices and Aggregate Demand in a “COVID-19” Shock [Financial intermediaries and the cross-section of asset returns]," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5522-5580.
    18. David Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi, 2022. "Supply and Demand in Disaggregated Keynesian Economies with an Application to the COVID-19 Crisis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(5), pages 1397-1436, May.
    19. Celso José Costa Jr & Alejandro Garcia-Cintado & Karlo Marques, 2020. "Conventional macroeconomic policies and the pandemic-driven recession," Working Papers 20.03, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
    20. McQuinn, Kieran & Varthalitis, Petros, 2020. "Debt sharing after Covid-19: How the direct involvement of EU institutions could impact the recovery path of a member state," Papers WP663, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Coronavirus Pandemic; Global Economic; Demand and Supply Shock;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xx:y:2020:i:1:p:50-60. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gheorghiu Gabriela (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feoviro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.