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Economic News and International Stock Market Co-movement

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  • Rui Albuquerque
  • Clara Vega

Abstract

We analyze the effects that real-time domestic and foreign news about fundamentals have on the co-movement between stock returns of a small, open economy, Portugal, and a large economy, the United States. Consistent with our theoretical model, we find that US macroeconomic news and Portuguese earnings news do not affect stock market co-movement, whereas Portuguese macroeconomic news lowers stock market co-movement. We find that US news affects Portuguese stock market returns, though less so when US stock market returns are included in the regression. We provide evidence, contrary to common wisdom, that this last result does not derive from contagion. Copyright 2009, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Rui Albuquerque & Clara Vega, 2009. "Economic News and International Stock Market Co-movement," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 13(3), pages 401-465.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revfin:v:13:y:2009:i:3:p:401-465
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rof/rfn020
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    Cited by:

    1. Brandao-Marques, Luis & Gelos, Gaston & Melgar, Natalia, 2018. "Country transparency and the global transmission of financial shocks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 56-72.
    2. Ülkü, Numan & Weber, Enzo, 2013. "Identifying the interaction between stock market returns and trading flows of investor types: Looking into the day using daily data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 2733-2749.
    3. Blau, Benjamin M. & Griffith, Todd G. & Whitby, Ryan J., 2023. "Industry regulation and the comovement of stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 206-219.
    4. Nave, Juan M. & Ruiz, Javier, 2015. "Risk aversion and monetary policy in a global context," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 14-35.
    5. Nishimura, Yusaku & Tsutsui, Yoshiro & Hirayama, Kenjiro, 2018. "Do international investors cause stock market spillovers? Comparing responses of cross-listed stocks between accessible and inaccessible markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 237-248.
    6. Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2018. "Decomposing the predictive power of local and global financial valuation ratios," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 137-149.
    7. Beetsma, Roel & Giuliodori, Massimo & de Jong, Frank & Widijanto, Daniel, 2013. "Spread the news: The impact of news on the European sovereign bond markets during the crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 83-101.
    8. Opschoor, Anne & Taylor, Nick & van der Wel, Michel & van Dijk, Dick, 2014. "Order flow and volatility: An empirical investigation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 185-201.
    9. David Büttner & Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2012. "The impact of foreign macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 19-44, February.
    10. Wojciech Grabowski, 2019. "Givers or Recipients? Co-Movements between Stock Markets of CEE-3 and Developed Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-24, November.
    11. Ülkü, Numan & Baker, Saleh, 2014. "Country world betas: The link between the stock market beta and macroeconomic beta," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 36-46.
    12. Numan Ülkü & Enzo Weber, 2014. "Identifying the Interaction between Foreign Investor Flows and Emerging Stock Market Returns," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(4), pages 1541-1581.
    13. Sim, Nicholas, 2016. "Modeling the dependence structures of financial assets through the Copula Quantile-on-Quantile approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 31-45.
    14. Melody Y. Huang & Randall R. Rojas & Patrick D. Convery, 2020. "Forecasting stock market movements using Google Trend searches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2821-2839, December.
    15. Lin, Karen Jingrong & Karim, Khondkar E. & Carter, Clairmont, 2015. "Why does China's stock market have highly synchronous stock price movements? An information supply perspective," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 68-79.
    16. Apergis, Nicholas & Lau, Marco Chi Keung & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2016. "Media sentiment and CDS spread spillovers: Evidence from the GIIPS countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 50-59.
    17. Pavel Gertler & Roman Horváth & Júlia Jonášová, 2020. "Central Bank Communication and Financial Market Comovements in the Euro Area," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 257-272, April.
    18. Yusaku Nishimura & Yoshiro Tsutsui & Kenjiro Hirayama, 2017. "Do International Investors Cause Stock Market Comovements? Comparing Responses of Cross-Listed Stocks between Accessible and Inaccessible Markets," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 17-01, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    19. Brutti, Filippo & Sauré, Philip, 2015. "Transmission of sovereign risk in the Euro crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 231-248.
    20. Chan, Kam Fong & Powell, John G. & Treepongkaruna, Sirimon, 2014. "Currency jumps and crises: Do developed and emerging market currencies jump together?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 132-157.

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