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A Denial a Day Keeps the Doctor Away

Author

Listed:
  • Abe Dunn
  • Joshua D Gottlieb
  • Adam Hale Shapiro
  • Daniel J Sonnenstuhl
  • Pietro Tebaldi

Abstract

Who bears the consequences of administrative problems in health care? We use data on repeated interactions between a large sample of U.S. physicians and many different insurers to document the complexity of health care billing, and estimate its economic costs for doctors and consequences for patients. Observing the back-and-forth sequences of claim denials and resubmissions for past visits, we can estimate physicians’ costs of haggling with insurers to collect payments. Combining these costs with the revenue never collected, we estimate that physicians lose 18% of Medicaid revenue to billing problems, compared with 4.7% for Medicare and 2.4% for commercial insurers. Identifying off of physician movers and practices that span state boundaries, we find that physicians respond to billing problems by refusing to accept Medicaid patients in states with more severe billing hurdles. These hurdles are quantitatively just as important as payment rates for explaining variation in physicians’ willingness to treat Medicaid patients. We conclude that administrative frictions have first-order costs for doctors, patients, and equality of access to health care. We quantify the potential economic gains—in terms of reduced public spending or increased access to physicians—if these frictions could be reduced and find them to be sizable.

Suggested Citation

  • Abe Dunn & Joshua D Gottlieb & Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J Sonnenstuhl & Pietro Tebaldi, 2024. "A Denial a Day Keeps the Doctor Away," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 139(1), pages 187-233.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:139:y:2024:i:1:p:187-233.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/qje/qjad035
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    Cited by:

    1. Klein, Alexander & Crafts, Nicholas, 2023. "Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing Productivity across U.S. States: What the Long-Run Data Show," CEPR Discussion Papers 18065, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Bhalotra, Sonia & Fernandez, Manuel, 2021. "The Right to Health and the Health Effects of Denials," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1376, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    3. Cheng, Wenyin & Ouyang, Xin & Yu, Anqi & Shen, Zhiyang & Vardanyan, Michael, 2024. "Subjective perceptions versus objective outcomes: Assessing the impact of smart city pilots on environmental quality in China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    4. Menares, Felipe & Muñoz, Pablo, 2025. "The impact of standardized disease-specific healthcare coverage," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    5. Sébastien Houde & Maya Papineau & Nicholas Rivers & Kareman Yassin, 2025. "Big Hassle on the Decarbonization Frontier," CESifo Working Paper Series 12326, CESifo.
    6. Douven, Rudy & Kauer, Lukas, 2023. "Falling ill raises the health insurer's administration bill," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    7. Jeffrey Clemens & Jonathan M. Leganza & Alex Masucci, 2026. "Plugging gaps in payment systems: Evidence from the take‐up of new Medicare billing codes," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 44(1), pages 105-130, January.
    8. Calvin Ackley & Abe Dunn & Eli Liebman & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2025. "Are Medicaid and Medicare Patients Treated Equally?," Working Paper Series 2024-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    9. Jeffrey Clemens & Pierre-Thomas Léger & Yashna Nandan & Robert Town, 2024. "Physician Practice Preferences and Healthcare Expenditures: Evidence from Commercial Payers," NBER Working Papers 33090, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Neprash, Hannah T. & Zink, Anna & Sheridan, Bethany & Hempstead, Katherine, 2021. "The effect of Medicaid expansion on Medicaid participation, payer mix, and labor supply in primary care," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Benjamin R. Handel & Jonathan T. Kolstad, 2021. "The Affordable Care Act After a Decade: Industrial Organization of the Insurance Exchanges," NBER Working Papers 29178, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Mandar Bodas & Qian Luo & Anushree Vichare, 2025. "Tracking Changes in Primary Care Clinicians’ Medicaid Participation Using Novel Methods," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 22(9), pages 1-13, August.
    13. Martin Gaynor & Kate Ho & Robert J. Town, 2015. "The Industrial Organization of Health-Care Markets," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 53(2), pages 235-284, June.
    14. Armantier, Olivier & Foncel, Jérôme & Treich, Nicolas, 2023. "Insurance and portfolio decisions: Two sides of the same coin?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 201-219.
    15. Yong, Jongsay & Elshaug, Adam G & Mendez, Susan J & Prang, Khic-Houy & Scott, Anthony, 2024. "Sources of specialist physician fee variation: Evidence from Australian health insurance claims data," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H52 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Education
    • H75 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Government: Health, Education, and Welfare
    • I11 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Analysis of Health Care Markets
    • I13 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Insurance, Public and Private
    • I14 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Inequality
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • L14 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation
    • L33 - Industrial Organization - - Nonprofit Organizations and Public Enterprise - - - Comparison of Public and Private Enterprise and Nonprofit Institutions; Privatization; Contracting Out
    • L88 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Government Policy

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