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Understanding forced internal displacement in Ukraine: insights and lessons for today’s crises
[‘A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation’]

Author

Listed:
  • Vlad Mykhnenko
  • Elliot Delahaye
  • Nigel Mehdi

Abstract

The contribution of this paper is threefold: first, it accounts for the problem of Ukraine’s forced internal displacement, following the Russian occupation of the Crimea and Donbas regions in 2014; second, this study applies a number of quantitative research methods to provide new insights into the way that individual and destination characteristics of the internally displaced people (IDPs) impact upon their destination preferences; finally, it draws four key policy lessons for dealing with today’s worst humanitarian catastrophe in Europe since 1945. These lessons focus on the individual characteristics of forced migrants for understanding displacement patterns; and the need for full restoration of legitimate democratic government at home as the necessary condition for return. They also highlight that in the extraordinary circumstances of large-scale warfare, life-saving action takes precedence over any other motivations; and the host communities’ perceived sympathy towards the forced migrants’ home nation ultimately determines the choice of settlement.

Suggested Citation

  • Vlad Mykhnenko & Elliot Delahaye & Nigel Mehdi, 2022. "Understanding forced internal displacement in Ukraine: insights and lessons for today’s crises [‘A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation’]," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 38(3), pages 699-716.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxford:v:38:y:2022:i:3:p:699-716.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oxrep/grac020
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fransen, Sonja & Ruiz, Isabel & Vargas-Silva, Carlos, 2017. "Return Migration and Economic Outcomes in the Conflict Context," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 196-210.
    2. Viktoriya Sereda, 2020. "‘Social Distancing’ and Hierarchies of Belonging: The Case of Displaced Population from Donbas and Crimea," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 72(3), pages 404-431, March.
    3. Anderson, James E, 1979. "A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(1), pages 106-116, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Brienna Perelli-Harris & Yuliya Hilevych, 2023. "The triple burden of depopulation in Ukraine: examining perceptions of population decline," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 21(1), pages 1-1.

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