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The Impact of Economic Factors on Bank Profits

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Abstract

This study examines the impact of macroeconomic changes on bank profits that Austrian banks have experienced over the past 15 years. We used several proxies based on balance sheet data at the individual bank level, as well as macroeconomic variables to capture these changes, and additionally controlled for a number of microeconomic factors. Our estimation is based on panel regression analysis using unconsolidated micro-level data reported by all Austrian banks from 1995 to 2009. While we found that disintermediation (fewer loans in total assets) and the degree of concentration in the banking sector had a positive effect on bank profitability, changes in the ownership structure (privatization and increased foreign ownership), as well as more foreign lending by Austrian banks, did not, on the basis of unconsolidated data, have a clear-cut or significant impact on bank profits. As in other countries, bank profits in Austria are contingent on the business cycle and are positively influenced by the spread between long-term and short-term interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Rumler & Walter Waschiczek, 2010. "The Impact of Economic Factors on Bank Profits," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 49-67.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbmp:y:2010:i:4:b:3
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    File URL: https://www.oenb.at/dam/jcr:1372d37d-a783-4612-9369-aba50006da5d/mop_2010_q4_analyses03_tcm16-221663.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Huizinga, Harry, 2000. "Financial structure and bank profitability," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2430, The World Bank.
    2. Skander J. van den Heuvel, 2002. "Does bank capital matter for monetary transmission?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 8(May), pages 259-265.
    3. Douglas W. Diamond, 1984. "Financial Intermediation and Delegated Monitoring," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 51(3), pages 393-414.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bajomo Olubunmi Adefunke & Akinlo Anthony Enisan, 2019. "The Determinants of Performance in the Nigerian Banking Industry 2004-2014," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(3), pages 140-157, September.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Awartani, Basel & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2016. "Crude oil prices and sectoral stock returns in Jordan around the Arab uprisings of 2010," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 205-214.
    3. Małgorzata Pawłowska, 2017. "Wpływ zagranicznych banków macierzystych na rentowność ich filii i oddziałów w Polsce podczas kryzysu finansowego," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 47, pages 143-156.
    4. Wu, Po-Chin & Liu, Shiao-Yen & Zhai, Rui-Xiang, 2018. "Nonlinear impacts of operating risk and demand management policy on banks’ performance: The role of leading indicator," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 40-53.
    5. Malgorzata Pawlowska, 2016. "Market structure, business cycle and bank profitability: evidence on Polish banks," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(4), pages 341-364.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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