The Phillips Curve for the Romanian Economy, 1992-2017
The paper analyses the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation, in Romania, during the 1992 â€“ 1997 (March) period. For this purpose, we have estimated two econometric models, where the inflation trend has considered as a benchmark for inflation dynamics and the unemployment gap was built after applying the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter at unemployment rate. We have found that the unemployment gap had the greatest relevance in inflation model if we have taken a four months delay. The data support the hypothesis of a significant relationship between inflation and unemployment, with the shape described by the Phillips curve, namely the coefficients of unemployment gap were negative, econometrically significant and comparable as dimension in both models of inflation dynamics. We have calculated that the coefficient of unemployment gap is -0.344 in the Phillips curve model where the errors follow an ARMA(2, 2) process and -0.386 in the model which includes the inflation inertia., 36-48
Volume (Year): 5 (2017)
Issue (Month): 1 (June)
|Contact details of provider:|| Phone: +040.21.330.90.32|
Web page: http://www.univnt.ro/
More information through EDIRC
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Ciuiu, Daniel, 2013. "Qualitative variables and their reduction possibility. Application to time series models," MPRA Paper 59284, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2013.
- Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
- Nicoleta Ciurila & Bogdan Murarasu, 2008.
"Inflation Dynamics in Romania - a New Keynesian Perspective,"
European Research Studies Journal,
European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 31-38.
- Nicoleta CIURILA & Bogdan MURARASU, 2008. "Inflation Dynamics in Romania – a New Keynesian Perspective," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(36), pages 155-160, May.
- Robert J. Gordon, 2011. "The History of the Phillips Curve: Consensus and Bifurcation," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 78(309), pages 10-50, January.
- Mihaela Simionescu, 2014. "Testing The Existence And Stability Of Phillips Curve In Romania," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 10(1), pages 67-74.
- Saman, Corina & Pauna, Bianca, 2013. "New Keynesian Phillips Curve for Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 159-171, June.
- Georgiana BALABAN & Denis VÎNTU, 2010. "Testing the Nonlinearity of the Phillips Curve. Implications for Monetary Policy," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 4(4(545)), pages 101-120, April.
- Emilia Herman, 2010. "Inflation And Unemployment In The Romanian Economy," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, vol. 10(2), pages 157-170.
- Edward S. Knotek & II, 2007. "How useful is Okun's law?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q IV, pages 73-103.
- repec:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:2:p:29-44 is not listed on IDEAS
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ntu:ntcmss:vol5-iss1-17-36. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Stefan Ciucu)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.