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Probabilistic feasibility space of scaling up green hydrogen supply

Author

Listed:
  • Adrian Odenweller

    (Member of the Leibniz Association
    Technische Universität Berlin)

  • Falko Ueckerdt

    (Member of the Leibniz Association)

  • Gregory F. Nemet

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

  • Miha Jensterle

    (adelphi research gGmbH)

  • Gunnar Luderer

    (Member of the Leibniz Association
    Technische Universität Berlin)

Abstract

Green hydrogen and derived electrofuels are attractive replacements for fossil fuels in applications where direct electrification is infeasible. While this makes them crucial for climate neutrality, rapidly scaling up supply is critical and challenging. Here we show that even if electrolysis capacity grows as fast as wind and solar power have done, green hydrogen supply will remain scarce in the short term and uncertain in the long term. Despite initial exponential growth, green hydrogen likely (≥75%) supplies

Suggested Citation

  • Adrian Odenweller & Falko Ueckerdt & Gregory F. Nemet & Miha Jensterle & Gunnar Luderer, 2022. "Probabilistic feasibility space of scaling up green hydrogen supply," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 7(9), pages 854-865, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natene:v:7:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1038_s41560-022-01097-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41560-022-01097-4
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