IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/emfitr/v48y2012i0p41-57.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tests for Two-Day Candlestick Patterns in the Emerging Equity Market of Taiwan

Author

Listed:
  • Tsung-Hsun Lu
  • Yung-Ming Shiu

Abstract

Using the Taiwan 50 Index component stocks for the period from January 2, 2002, to December 31, 2009, this study examines the predictive power of candlestick trading strategies. A four-digit numbers approach is employed to categorize two-day candlestick patterns. We find that the Taiwanese stock market is not efficient. We also document that two candlestick bullish patterns consistently outperform others. The main contributions of this study include addressing a range of two-day candlestick patterns, finding existing patterns not profitable, and showing two new patterns as profitable.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsung-Hsun Lu & Yung-Ming Shiu, 2012. "Tests for Two-Day Candlestick Patterns in the Emerging Equity Market of Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(0), pages 41-57, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:48:y:2012:i:0:p:41-57
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=contribution&id=H2N1055136881405
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ryan Sullivan & Allan Timmermann & Halbert White, 1999. "Data‐Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1647-1691, October.
    2. William C. Clyde & Carol L. Osler, 1997. "Charting: Chaos theory in disguise?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 489-514, August.
    3. Cheol‐Ho Park & Scott H. Irwin, 2007. "What Do We Know About The Profitability Of Technical Analysis?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 786-826, September.
    4. Joshua Krausz & Sa-Young Lee & Kiseok Nam, 2009. "Profitability of Nonlinear Dynamics Under Technical Trading Rules: Evidence from Pacific Basin Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(4), pages 13-35, July.
    5. David Goldbaum, 2003. "Profitable technical trading rules as a source of price instability," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 220-229.
    6. Ben Marshall & Martin Young & Rochester Cahan, 2008. "Are candlestick technical trading strategies profitable in the Japanese equity market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 191-207, August.
    7. Schmidt, Anatoly B., 2002. "Why technical trading may be successful? A lesson from the agent-based modeling," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 303(1), pages 185-188.
    8. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Beja, Avraham & Goldman, M Barry, 1980. "On the Dynamic Behavior of Prices in Disequilibrium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(2), pages 235-248, May.
    10. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    11. Marshall, Ben R. & Young, Martin R. & Rose, Lawrence C., 2006. "Candlestick technical trading strategies: Can they create value for investors?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 2303-2323, August.
    12. Blume, Lawrence & Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen, 1994. "Market Statistics and Technical Analysis: The Role of Volume," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(1), pages 153-181, March.
    13. Froot, Kenneth A & Scharftstein, David S & Stein, Jeremy C, 1992. "Herd on the Street: Informational Inefficiencies in a Market with Short-Term Speculation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1461-1484, September.
    14. Michael D. McKenzie, 2007. "Technical Trading Rules in Emerging Markets and the 1997 Asian Currency Crises," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(4), pages 46-73, August.
    15. Brock, William & Lakonishok, Josef & LeBaron, Blake, 1992. "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(5), pages 1731-1764, December.
    16. Lukac, Louis P & Brorsen, B Wade, 1990. "A Comprehensive Test of Futures Market Disequilibrium," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 25(4), pages 593-622, November.
    17. Hung-Wei Lai & Cheng-Wei Chen & Chin-Sheng Huang, 2010. "Technical Analysis, Investment Psychology, and Liquidity Provision: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(5), pages 18-38, September.
    18. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan, 1990. "Evidence of Predictable Behavior of Security Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(3), pages 881-898, July.
    19. Changyun Wang & Lei Xie, 2010. "Information Diffusion and Overreaction: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(2), pages 80-100, March.
    20. G. Caginalp & H. Laurent, 1998. "The predictive power of price patterns," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(3-4), pages 181-205.
    21. Hellwig, Martin F., 1982. "Rational expectations equilibrium with conditioning on past prices: A mean-variance example," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 279-312, April.
    22. Horton, Marshall J., 2009. "Stars, crows, and doji: The use of candlesticks in stock selection," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 283-294, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lu, Tsung-Hsun, 2014. "The profitability of candlestick charting in the Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 65-78.
    2. Shangkun Deng & Zhihao Su & Yanmei Ren & Haoran Yu & Yingke Zhu & Chenyang Wei, 2022. "Can Japanese Candlestick Patterns be Profitable on the Component Stocks of the SSE50 Index?," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(3), pages 21582440221, August.
    3. Piyapas Tharavanij & Vasan Siraprapasiri & Kittichai Rajchamaha, 2017. "Profitability of Candlestick Charting Patterns in the Stock Exchange of Thailand," SAGE Open, , vol. 7(4), pages 21582440177, October.
    4. Zhu, Min & Atri, Said & Yegen, Eyub, 2016. "Are candlestick trading strategies effective in certain stocks with distinct features?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 116-127.
    5. Tsung-Hsun Lu & Yung-Ming Shiu, 2016. "Can 1-day candlestick patterns be profitable on the 30 component stocks of the DJIA?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(35), pages 3345-3354, July.
    6. Ismael Orquín-Serrano, 2020. "Predictive Power of Adaptive Candlestick Patterns in Forex Market. Eurusd Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-34, May.
    7. Chen, Shi & Bao, Si & Zhou, Yu, 2016. "The predictive power of Japanese candlestick charting in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 457(C), pages 148-165.
    8. Ni, Yensen & Cheng, Yirung & Huang, Paoyu & Day, Min-Yuh, 2018. "Trading strategies in terms of continuous rising (falling) prices or continuous bullish (bearish) candlesticks emitted," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 501(C), pages 188-204.
    9. Marko Pov{z}enel & Dejan Lavbiv{c}, 2019. "Discovering Language of the Stocks," Papers 1902.08684, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tsung-Hsun Lu & Yung-Ming Shiu, 2016. "Can 1-day candlestick patterns be profitable on the 30 component stocks of the DJIA?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(35), pages 3345-3354, July.
    2. Cheol‐Ho Park & Scott H. Irwin, 2007. "What Do We Know About The Profitability Of Technical Analysis?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 786-826, September.
    3. Lu, Tsung-Hsun, 2014. "The profitability of candlestick charting in the Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 65-78.
    4. Lu, Tsung-Hsun & Chen, Yi-Chi & Hsu, Yu-Chin, 2015. "Trend definition or holding strategy: What determines the profitability of candlestick charting?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 172-183.
    5. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, September.
    6. Robert Ślepaczuk & Grzegorz Zakrzewski & Paweł Sakowski, 2012. "Investment strategies beating the market. What can we squeeze from the market?," Working Papers 2012-04, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    7. Ślepaczuk Robert & Sakowski Paweł & Zakrzewski Grzegorz, 2018. "Investment Strategies that Beat the Market. What Can We Squeeze from the Market?," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 14(4), pages 36-55, December.
    8. Lu, Tsung-Hsun & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Liu, Tsung-Chi, 2012. "Profitable candlestick trading strategies—The evidence from a new perspective," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 63-68.
    9. Lukas Menkhoff & Mark P. Taylor, 2007. "The Obstinate Passion of Foreign Exchange Professionals: Technical Analysis," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 936-972, December.
    10. Tsung‐Hsun Lu & Yung‐Ming Shiu & Tsung‐Chi Liu, 2012. "Profitable candlestick trading strategies—The evidence from a new perspective," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(2), pages 63-68, April.
    11. Chiang, Mi-Hsiu & Chiu, Hsin-Yu & Kuo, Wei-Yu, 2021. "Predictive ability of similarity-based futures trading strategies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Ülkü, Numan & Prodan, Eugeniu, 2013. "Drivers of technical trend-following rules' profitability in world stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 214-229.
    13. Piyapas Tharavanij & Vasan Siraprapasiri & Kittichai Rajchamaha, 2017. "Profitability of Candlestick Charting Patterns in the Stock Exchange of Thailand," SAGE Open, , vol. 7(4), pages 21582440177, October.
    14. Stephan Schulmeister, 2000. "Technical Analysis and Exchange Rate Dynamics," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 25857, April.
    15. Sermpinis, Georgios & Hassanniakalager, Arman & Stasinakis, Charalampos & Psaradellis, Ioannis, 2021. "Technical analysis profitability and Persistence: A discrete false discovery approach on MSCI indices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    16. Zhu, Min & Atri, Said & Yegen, Eyub, 2016. "Are candlestick trading strategies effective in certain stocks with distinct features?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 116-127.
    17. Jin, Xiaoye, 2021. "What do we know about the popularity of technical analysis in foreign exchange markets? A skewness preference perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    18. Chen, Shi & Bao, Si & Zhou, Yu, 2016. "The predictive power of Japanese candlestick charting in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 457(C), pages 148-165.
    19. Ebert, Sebastian & Hilpert, Christian, 2019. "Skewness preference and the popularity of technical analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    20. Menkhoff, Lukas, 2010. "The use of technical analysis by fund managers: International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2573-2586, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:48:y:2012:i:0:p:41-57. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MREE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.