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Profitable candlestick trading strategies—The evidence from a new perspective

  • Lu, Tsung-Hsun
  • Shiu, Yung-Ming
  • Liu, Tsung-Chi
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    This paper aims to investigate the profitability of two-day candlestick patterns by buying on bullish (bearish) patterns and holding until bearish (bullish) patterns occur. Our data set includes daily opening, high, low, and closing prices of component stocks in the Taiwan Top 50 Tracker Fund for the period from 29 October 2002 through 31 December 2008. We examine three bullish reversal patterns and three bearish reversal patterns. We find that three bullish reversal patterns are profitable in the Taiwan stock market. For robustness checks, we evaluate the applicability of our results to diverse market conditions, conduct an out-of-sample test and employ a bootstrap methodology.

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    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1058330012000092
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    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Review of Financial Economics.

    Volume (Year): 21 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 63-68

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:revfin:v:21:y:2012:i:2:p:63-68
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620170

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    1. Brock, W. & Lakonishok, J. & Lebaron, B., 1991. "Simple Technical Trading Rules And The Stochastic Properties Of Stock Returns," Working papers 90-22, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
    2. Marshall, Ben R. & Young, Martin R. & Rose, Lawrence C., 2006. "Candlestick technical trading strategies: Can they create value for investors?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 2303-2323, August.
    3. Horton, Marshall J., 2009. "Stars, crows, and doji: The use of candlesticks in stock selection," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 283-294, May.
    4. De Long, J Bradford & Andrei Shleifer & Lawrence H. Summers & Robert J. Waldmann, 1990. "Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(4), pages 703-38, August.
    5. Ben Marshall & Martin Young & Rochester Cahan, 2008. "Are candlestick technical trading strategies profitable in the Japanese equity market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 191-207, August.
    6. Hung-Wei Lai & Cheng-Wei Chen & Chin-Sheng Huang, 2010. "Technical Analysis, Investment Psychology, and Liquidity Provision: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 46(5), pages 18-38, September.
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