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A re-examination of an Irish popularity function*

* This paper is a replication of an original study

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Harrison
  • Michael Marsh

Abstract

This paper focuses on replication in the sense of Herrnson (1995). It re-examines the only study of an Irish popularity function (Borooah and Borooah, 1990) in the light of recent developments in econometric methodology and in Irish politics. Using error correction models the analysis provides an alternative account of the relationship between economics and government popularity to that provided by Borooah and Borooah. The findings indicate that the short-term impact of the economy is weaker than, and different from, that suggested by them. Economic influences at most set the general level of government approval rather than determine the quarter-by-quarter fluctuations. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Harrison & Michael Marsh, 1998. "A re-examination of an Irish popularity function," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 94(3), pages 367-383, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:94:y:1998:i:3:p:367-383
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1005037827388
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:cup:apsrev:v:64:y:1970:i:01:p:18-34_12 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Osborn, Denise R, et al, 1988. "Seasonality and the Order of Integration for Consumption," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 50(4), pages 361-377, November.
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    4. Clarke, Harold D. & Stewart, Marianne C., 1995. "Economic Evaluations, Prime Ministerial Approval and Governing Party Support: Rival Models Reconsidered," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(2), pages 145-170, April.
    5. Nannestad, Peter & Paldam, Martin, 1994. "The VP-Function: A Survey of the Literature on Vote and Popularity Functions after 25 Years," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 79(3-4), pages 213-245, June.
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    8. Borooah, Vani K & Borooah, Vidya, 1990. "Economic Performance and Political Popularity in the Republic of Ireland," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 65-79, October.
    9. MacKuen, Michael B. & Erikson, Robert S. & Stimson, James A. & Abramson, Paul R. & Ostrom, Charles W., 1992. "Question Wording and Macropartisanship," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 86(2), pages 475-486, June.
    10. Davidson, James E H, et al, 1978. "Econometric Modelling of the Aggregate Time-Series Relationship between Consumers' Expenditure and Income in the United Kingdom," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 88(352), pages 661-692, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Reinhard Neck & Friedrich Schneider, 2024. "The popularity function: a spurious regression? The case of Austria," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(1), pages 298-329, February.
    2. Quinlan, Stephen & Lewis-Beck, Michael S., 2021. "Forecasting government support in Irish general elections: Opinion polls and structural models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1654-1665.
    3. Fulya Ozaksoy Sonustun & Melike Bildirici, 2024. "Political Business Cycles in Türkiye: A Chaotic Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 17772-17790, December.

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    Replication

    This item is a replication of:
  • Borooah, Vani K & Borooah, Vidya, 1990. "Economic Performance and Political Popularity in the Republic of Ireland," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 65-79, October.

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    1. A re-examination of an Irish popularity function (Public Choice 1998) in ReplicationWiki

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