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Where, When, and by How Much Does Abnormal Weather Affect Housing Construction?

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  • Fergus, James T

Abstract

This article investigates whether departures from normal in precipitation or temperature have a significant contemporaneous effect on housing starts in each month of the year, for the nation as a whole and in each of the four Census regions. It also evaluates the extent to which these immediate effects are reversed in later months. The results indicate that atypical weather has statistically significant effects on the change in housing starts that are concentrated in the months of the first quarter and that the magnitude of these effects is quite substantial. However, such effects also are found in some other months as well. Significant lagged effects are found that tend to offset the contemporaneous effects of weather deviations. Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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  • Fergus, James T, 1999. "Where, When, and by How Much Does Abnormal Weather Affect Housing Construction?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 63-87, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:18:y:1999:i:1:p:63-87
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    Cited by:

    1. Bertrand, Jean-Louis & Parnaudeau, Miia, 2019. "Understanding the economic effects of abnormal weather to mitigate the risk of business failures," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 391-402.
    2. Joseph T. L. Ooi & Thao T. T. Le, 2012. "New Supply and Price Dynamics in the Singapore Housing Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 49(7), pages 1435-1451, May.
    3. Bertrand, Jean-Louis & Brusset, Xavier & Fortin, Maxime, 2015. "Assessing and hedging the cost of unseasonal weather: Case of the apparel sector," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(1), pages 261-276.
    4. Bradley Ewing & Jamie Kruse & Yongsheng Wang, 2007. "Local housing price index analysis in wind-disaster-prone areas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 40(2), pages 463-483, February.
    5. Bertrand, Jean-Louis & Brusset, Xavier & Chabot, Miia, 2021. "Protecting franchise chains against weather risk: A design science approach," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 187-200.
    6. Mense, Andreas, 2020. "The Impact of New Housing Supply on the Distribution of Rents," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224569, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Sutter Daniel & Ewing Bradley T., 2016. "State of Knowledge of Economic Value of Current and Improved Hurricane Forecasts," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 45-64, June.
    8. Patrick Gourley, 2021. "Curb appeal: how temporary weather patterns affect house prices," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 67(1), pages 107-129, August.
    9. Mense, Andreas, 2023. "Secondary housing supply," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118645, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Mense, Andreas, 2021. "Secondary housing supply," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 05/2021, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    11. Ball, Michael & Meen, Geoffrey & Nygaard, Christian, 2010. "Housing supply price elasticities revisited: Evidence from international, national, local and company data," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 255-268, December.
    12. Badorf, Florian & Hoberg, Kai, 2020. "The impact of daily weather on retail sales: An empirical study in brick-and-mortar stores," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Bradley T. Ewing & Jamie Brown Kruse & Dan Sutter, 2007. "Hurricanes and Economic Research: An Introduction to the Hurricane Katrina Symposium," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 74(2), pages 315-325, October.

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