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The transfer paradox in a pay-as-you-go pension system

Author

Listed:
  • Kojun Hamada

    (Niigata University)

  • Akihiko Kaneko

    (Waseda University)

  • Mitsuyoshi Yanagihara

    (Nagoya University)

Abstract

We examine how international transfers affect the welfare levels of a donor with a higher marginal propensity to save and a recipient with a lower marginal propensity to save when both countries adopt a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension system using a one-sector overlapping generations model. We demonstrate that in a dynamically efficient economy, except at the golden rule, when a per capita PAYG pension contribution of either a donor or a recipient increases marginally, the effect of the transfer on the donor’s welfare can be reduced, whereas whether the effect of the transfer on the recipient’s welfare is reduced is ambiguous. These results imply that the existence of a PAYG pension might hinder the effectiveness of the transfer on the donor’s welfare, and the adoption of a PAYG pension system is likely to cause a weak transfer paradox in which both a donor and a recipient immiserize. Our results also suggest that the introduction of a PAYG pension system, which is used as a domestic policy instrument for intergenerational income redistribution, reduces the donor’s incentive to make an international transfer to a recipient, which is a form of international income redistribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Kojun Hamada & Akihiko Kaneko & Mitsuyoshi Yanagihara, 2017. "The transfer paradox in a pay-as-you-go pension system," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 221-238, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:14:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s10368-016-0338-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10368-016-0338-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cremers, Emily T. & Sen, Partha, 2008. "The transfer paradox in a one-sector overlapping generations model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1995-2012, June.
    2. Giam Cipriani, 2014. "Population aging and PAYG pensions in the OLG model," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 27(1), pages 251-256, January.
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    6. Luciano Fanti & Luca Gori, 2012. "Fertility and PAYG pensions in the overlapping generations model," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 25(3), pages 955-961, July.
    7. Mitsuyoshi Yanagihara, 1998. "Public goods and the transfer paradox in an overlapping generations model," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 175-205.
    8. Mark A. Roberts, 2003. "Can Pay-as-You-Go Pensions Raise the Capital Stock?," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 71(Supplemen), pages 1-20, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hu, Weizhen, 2019. "Policy effects on transitional welfare in an overlapping generations model: A pay-as-you-go pension reconsidered," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 40-48.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pay-as-you-go pension; Transfer paradox; Overlapping generations model; Capital accumulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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