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Bridging the Classroom Gap between Asset Pricing and Business Cycle Theory

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  • Mike Aguilar
  • Daniel Soques

Abstract

The tools presented in the standard undergraduate economics and finance curricula are insufficient for explaining the complex dynamics of the modern U.S. economy. For instance, students of macroeconomics are not provided with a satisfactory framework for assessing how a financial shock may reverberate through the real economy, as it did during the Great Recession of 2008-2009. Similarly, students of finance are left with little guidance as to the origins of two key inputs into asset pricing models, namely cash flows and discount rates. In this article we present a unified macro-financial model to bridge the gap between the typical undergraduate treatments of asset pricing and business cycle theory. The Dynamic Empirical Macroeconomic (DyEM) model we introduce here offers several innovations, the most important of which is expanding the role of the interest rate to include term and default risk premia. We combine these elements to construct a series of discount rates that are critical for a range of present discounted value calculations. Moreover, we link economic activity to earnings growth in order to facilitate macro-based equity pricing. The paper concludes with an illustration of how the DyEM model may be used in the classroom via a cooperative learning exercise centered on the Great Recession. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Mike Aguilar & Daniel Soques, 2015. "Bridging the Classroom Gap between Asset Pricing and Business Cycle Theory," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 21(4), pages 433-452, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:iaecre:v:21:y:2015:i:4:p:433-452:10.1007/s11294-015-9546-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11294-015-9546-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pedro de Araujo & Roisin O’Sullivan & Nicole B. Simpson, 2013. "What Should be Taught in Intermediate Macroeconomics?," The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 74-90, March.
    2. Mark Gertler & Jordi Gali & Richard Clarida, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December.
    3. Bernanke, Ben & Gertler, Mark, 1989. "Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(1), pages 14-31, March.
    4. Alan S. Blinder, 2015. "What Did We Learn from the Financial Crisis, the Great Recession, and the Pathetic Recovery?," The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(2), pages 135-149, April.
    5. Mark Gertler & Jordi Gali & Richard Clarida, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic Empirical Macroeconomic (DyEM) model; Great Recession; Asset pricing; Business cycle theory; Macro-finance modeling; Economic education; A22; E30; E44;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A22 - General Economics and Teaching - - Economic Education and Teaching of Economics - - - Undergraduate
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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