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Macroeconomic Policies for Slovenia in the “Great Recession”

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  • Reinhard Neck
  • Dmitri Blueschke
  • Klaus Weyerstrass

Abstract

The paper analyzes the effects of different reactions of fiscal (and to some extent monetary) policies to the Great Recession in Slovenia. We use the model SLOPOL8.1, an econometric model of the Slovenian economy, to simulate the effects of the global crisis under the assumption of no-policy reactions, i.e. assuming that macroeconomic policies are conducted without attempting to deal with the effects of the recession. Moreover, we investigate whether (and if so, how) fiscal policy can reduce or even annihilate the macroeconomic effects of the recession. It turns out that in order to achieve reasonable rates of growth and of unemployment, a highly expansionary design of fiscal policies is required, which is neither realistic nor sustainable. There are strong trade-offs between countercyclical fiscal policies and the requirements of fiscal solvency. Acceptable fiscal policies are mildly countercyclical and are not able to shelter the Slovenian economy from the negative effects of a slump like that occurring during the Great Recession. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2012. "Macroeconomic Policies for Slovenia in the “Great Recession”," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 18(4), pages 345-366, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:iaecre:v:18:y:2012:i:4:p:345-366:10.1007/s11294-012-9376-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11294-012-9376-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2010. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(3), pages 763-801, June.
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    3. Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2011. "Optimal macroeconomic policies in a financial and economic crisis: a case study for Slovenia," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 38(3), pages 435-459, July.
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    1. Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2013. "Trade-Off of Fiscal Austerity in the European Debt Crisis in Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 19(4), pages 367-380, November.

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    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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