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The Value of Flexibility: Preservation, Remediation, or Development for Ginostra?

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  • V. Bosetti

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  • J.M. Conrad
  • E. Messinat

Abstract

We are concerned with land allocation andinvestment decisions when dealing withpartially degraded areas that might be (1)remediated and returned to a more natural state;or (2) irreversibly developed. This type ofproblem seems particularly relevant in Europewhere the issue of wilderness conservation isof less concern than the remediation oflandscapes which have been altered by previouseconomic activities. Traditional expectedpresent value analysis will fail to capture thevalue of investments that might be undertakensequentially or when certain investments areirreversible. We show how to determine, withina discrete-time, stochastic model, the optimaladaptive development strategy and how tocalculate the option value of flexibility. Thetheoretical model is then applied to Ginostra,a town on Stromboli, an island off the southerncoast of Italy. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2004

Suggested Citation

  • V. Bosetti & J.M. Conrad & E. Messinat, 2004. "The Value of Flexibility: Preservation, Remediation, or Development for Ginostra?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 29(2), pages 219-229, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:enreec:v:29:y:2004:i:2:p:219-229
    DOI: 10.1023/B:EARE.0000044609.35994.ee
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lo, Andrew W., 1988. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Generalized Itô Processes with Discretely Sampled Data," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(02), pages 231-247, August.
    2. Merton, Robert C, 1998. "Applications of Option-Pricing Theory: Twenty-Five Years Later," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 323-349, June.
    3. Jon M. Conrad, 1980. "Quasi-Option Value and the Expected Value of Information," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 94(4), pages 813-820.
    4. Fisher, Anthony C., 2000. "Investment under uncertainty and option value in environmental economics," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 197-204, July.
    5. Kenneth J. Arrow & Anthony C. Fisher, 1974. "Environmental Preservation, Uncertainty, and Irreversibility," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 88(2), pages 312-319.
    6. Hanemann, W. Michael, 1989. "Information and the concept of option value," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 23-37, January.
    7. Henry, Claude, 1974. "Investment Decisions Under Uncertainty: The "Irreversibility Effect."," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(6), pages 1006-1012, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Elisabetta Strazzera & Elisabetta Cherchi & Silvia Ferrini, 2008. "A Choice Modelling Approach for Assessment of Use and Quasi-Option Values in Urban Planning for Areas of Environmental Interest," Working Papers 2008.63, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    2. Tsvetan G. Tsvetanov & Farhed A. Shah, 2012. "The Economics of Protection against Sea-Level Rise: An Application to Coastal Properties in Connecticut," Working Papers 10, University of Connecticut, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Charles J. Zwick Center for Food and Resource Policy.

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