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Impacto de la estructura tributaria sobre el crecimiento económico: el caso de México

Author

Listed:
  • Humberto Banda-Ortiz

    (Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro)

  • Edgar Demetrio Tovar-García

    (Universidad Panamericana)

Abstract

En este artículo se estudia empíricamente el impacto de la estructura tributaria sobre el crecimiento económico de México de 2005 a 2016. Se desarrolló un modelo econométrico usando como variables independientes: impuesto sobre la renta, impuesto al valor agregado, impuesto especial sobre la producción y servicios e impuesto sobre las importaciones. Los resultados mostraron un efecto negativo y significativo sobre el PIB per cápita del impuesto sobre la renta. Por el contrario, el impuesto al valor agregado mostró impactos positivos. Por lo tanto, la recomendación es apoyar una estructura tributaria donde el impuesto sobre la renta tenga poca relevancia. Por la falta de datos para algunas variables para años previos al 2005, el análisis está limitado al periodo de estudio enunciado. No obstante, esta es la primera investigación sobre el nexo crecimiento económico y estructura fiscal para México, aunque dicho nexo se ha estudiado en varios países desarrollados y en unos pocos países en vías de desarrollo. En línea con esa literatura, en México también se encuentra que la estructura tributaria afecta el crecimiento económico en el largo plazo.

Suggested Citation

  • Humberto Banda-Ortiz & Edgar Demetrio Tovar-García, 2018. "Impacto de la estructura tributaria sobre el crecimiento económico: el caso de México," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 13(4), pages 585-601, Octubre-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:13:y:2018:i:4:p:585-601
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Estructura tributaria; crecimiento económico; impuesto sobre la renta; impuesto al valor agregado;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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