IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v17y2025i7p2889-d1619473.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of LULC in Coastal Cities on Terrestrial Carbon Storage and Ecosystem Service Value: A Case Study of Liaoning Province

Author

Listed:
  • Yuan Li

    (Research Institute of Forestry Policy and Information, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China)

  • Bin Xu

    (Division of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China)

  • Yan Li

    (Research Institute of Forestry Policy and Information, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China)

  • Yuxuan Wan

    (Division of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China)

Abstract

Context: The intensification of land use changes in coastal cities has been a result of the ongoing development of the social economy. A decrease in the ecosystem service value (ESV) and terrestrial carbon storage (TCS) of coastal cities has been observed as a result of the intensification of urbanization and climate change. However, it is unclear whether the influence of land use change on ESV and TCS in coastal towns would be facilitated or hampered under various growth scenarios. Aim: This study simulated the impact of land use change on the ESV and TCS of coastal cities under various future development scenarios and provided scientific policy references for the preservation of their ecological functions. Approaches: The InVEST model and PLUS model were employed to predict the land use changes in coastal cities in Liaoning Province from 2030 to 2060 under various development scenarios, based on the land use change data of three periods from 2000 to 2010 to 2020. The changes in ESV and TCS in coastal cities were also calculated. Results: The distribution pattern of ESV and TCS and future development scenarios are significantly influenced by the area changes and chief influencing factors of various land types in coastal cities of Liaoning Province. The dynamic changes in construction land, cultivated land, grassland, and unused land play a significant role in various development scenarios, given the variations in development patterns across different cities. Two of the primary factors that influence the variations in various land types are GDP, NDVI, DEM, rainfall, and population distribution. Three provisioning services, regulating services, supporting services, and cultural services, also experienced a gradual decline in the ESV variations of coastal cities, while the ESV of cultivated land, forest land, rivers, and grasslands exhibited a downward development trend. The spatial distribution of carbon storage in coastal cities exhibited the characteristics of “low coastal, high eastern, western, and inland forest distribution areas, and medium carbon storage in the central grassland distribution area.” Four coastal cities can effectively mitigate the impact of urbanization development on ecosystem services under the ecological protection scenario. Conclusions: The present study demonstrates the spatiotemporal variations and propelling forces of ecosystem services in coastal communities during land use change under various simulation scenarios. Important references for sustainable development and land use control in coastal cities are provided through recommendations for non-construction land management that enhance ESV and TCS.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuan Li & Bin Xu & Yan Li & Yuxuan Wan, 2025. "Impact of LULC in Coastal Cities on Terrestrial Carbon Storage and Ecosystem Service Value: A Case Study of Liaoning Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-24, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:7:p:2889-:d:1619473
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/7/2889/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/7/2889/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhou, Yang & Li, Xunhuan & Liu, Yansui, 2020. "Land use change and driving factors in rural China during the period 1995-2015," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    2. Damania, Richard & Russ, Jason & Wheeler, David & Barra, Alvaro Federico, 2018. "The Road to Growth: Measuring the Tradeoffs between Economic Growth and Ecological Destruction," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 351-376.
    3. Rahman, Mohammad Mafizur & Alam, Khosrul, 2021. "Clean energy, population density, urbanization and environmental pollution nexus: Evidence from Bangladesh," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1063-1072.
    4. Imranul Islam & Shenghui Cui & Muhammad Ziaul Hoque & Hasan Muhammad Abdullah & Kaniz Fatima Tonny & Minhaz Ahmed & Jannatul Ferdush & Lilai Xu & Shengping Ding, 2022. "Dynamics of Tree outside Forest Land Cover Development and Ecosystem Carbon Storage Change in Eastern Coastal Zone, Bangladesh," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, January.
    5. Md. Mostafizur Rahman & György Szabó, 2021. "Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Changes on Urban Ecosystem Service Value in Dhaka, Bangladesh," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, July.
    6. Hailu, Alemenesh & Mammo, Siraj & Kidane, Moges, 2020. "Dynamics of land use, land cover change trend and its drivers in Jimma Geneti District, Western Ethiopia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Juan Li & Xunzhou Chunyu & Feng Huang, 2022. "Land Use Pattern Changes and the Driving Forces in the Shiyang River Basin from 2000 to 2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-27, December.
    2. Ibrahim Ari & Muammer Koc, 2018. "Sustainable Financing for Sustainable Development: Understanding the Interrelations between Public Investment and Sovereign Debt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-25, October.
    3. Weijia Chen & Yongquan Lu & Guilin Liu, 2022. "Balancing cropland gain and desert vegetation loss: The key to rural revitalization in Xinjiang, China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(3), pages 1122-1145, September.
    4. Fei Yang & Chunchen Wang, 2023. "Clean energy, emission trading policy, and CO2 emissions: Evidence from China," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1657-1673, August.
    5. Bird, Julia & Straub, Stéphane, 2020. "The Brasília experiment: The heterogeneous impact of road access on spatial development in Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    6. Wancong Li & Hong Li & Shijun Wang & Zhiqiang Feng, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Evolution of County-Level Land Use Structure in the Context of Urban Shrinkage: Evidence from Northeast China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
    7. Liu, Yansui & Zhou, Yang, 2021. "Territory spatial planning and national governance system in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Noah Kaiser & Christina K. Barstow, 2022. "Rural Transportation Infrastructure in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Review of Impacts, Implications, and Interventions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-48, February.
    9. Bruno Ibekilo & Chukwunonso Ekesiobi & Precious Muhammed Emmanuel, 2023. "Heterogeneous assessment of urbanisation, energy consumption and environmental pollution in Africa: the role of regulatory quality," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4421-4444, December.
    10. Md. Mostafizur Rahman & György Szabó, 2021. "A Geospatial Approach to Measure Social Benefits in Urban Land Use Optimization Problem," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-23, December.
    11. Francisco B. Galarza & Joanna Kámiche Zegarra & Rosario Gómez, 2023. "Roads and Deforestation: Do Local Institutions Matter?," Working Papers 192, Peruvian Economic Association.
    12. Han Huang & Yang Zhou & Mingjie Qian & Zhaoqi Zeng, 2021. "Land Use Transition and Driving Forces in Chinese Loess Plateau: A Case Study from Pu County, Shanxi Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
    13. Sarfaraz Hashemkhani Zolfani & Seyed Mostafa Hedayatnezhad Kashi & Saba Baharvandi, 2022. "The Assessment of Ecological Livability for Agricultural, Pasture, Forestry, Residential, and Tourism Activities; Study Area: North of Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-26, October.
    14. Basem Aljoumani & Jose A. Sanchez-Espigares & Björn Kluge & Gerd Wessolek & Birgit Kleinschmit, 2022. "Analyzing Temporal Trends of Urban Evaporation Using Generalized Additive Models," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-16, March.
    15. Iqbal, Mubasher & Arshed, Noman & Chan, Ling-Foon, 2024. "Exploring the dynamics: Biodiversity impacts of natural resource extraction with moderating influence of FinTech for sustainable practices in resource-rich nations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    16. Norton Barros Felix & Priscila Celebrini de Oliveira Campos & Igor Paz & Maria Esther Soares Marques, 2022. "Geoprocessing Applied to the Assessment of Carbon Storage and Sequestration in a Brazilian Medium-Sized City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-16, July.
    17. Jiayu Kang & Xuejun Duan & Ruxian Yun, 2023. "The Impact of Urbanization on Food Security: A Case Study of Jiangsu Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-16, August.
    18. Liu, Yansui & Zhou, Yang, 2021. "Reflections on China's food security and land use policy under rapid urbanization," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    19. Yuxin Meng & Lu Liu & Jianlong Wang & Qiying Ran & Xiaodong Yang & Jianliang Shen, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of the National Sustainable Development Planning of Resource-Based Cities Policy on Pollution Emission Intensity: Evidence from 270 Prefecture-Level Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-20, June.
    20. Salim Yılmaz & Demet Ozaner, 2025. "Causality Between Carbon Emissions, Temperature Changes, and Health Expenditures: A Comparative Panel Approach with Environmental and Economic Indicators," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-21, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:7:p:2889-:d:1619473. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.