IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v16y2024i4p1597-d1338745.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Simulation of Development Strategies and Evaluation of Low-Carbon Development Level in Jiangsu Province under Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals

Author

Listed:
  • Fanglin Li

    (School of Finance and Economics, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

  • Yingjie Zhang

    (School of Finance and Economics, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

Abstract

Studies on regional low-carbon development are essential for reducing air pollution, protecting human life and health, and environmental sustainability. In this article, after sorting the connotations of low-carbon development, the low-carbon development evaluation indicators system was constructed, and the entropy weighting method and improved analytic hierarchy process were applied to evaluate the low-carbon development level between 2007 and 2021 about Jiangsu Province, China. Also, the system dynamics model was constructed to simulate the low-carbon development process. The research findings show the following: (1) Low-carbon development in Jiangsu Province obtained some achievement; (2) “Coordination force” played the most crucial role in low-carbon development, while “growth force” and “transformation force” performed better; (3) The simulation results showed that the economic development type would be the most beneficial in the long run; the energy conservation type would be steadily developing and improving every year; and the green transformation type had a clear drive for low-carbon development at an early stage and the impact was rapid. The novelty of this paper includes the following: (1) The dimension division of the index system is novel; (2) The measurement method is novel. The weights of indicators are determined by a combination of the entropy weighting method and improved analytic hierarchy process; (3) The low-carbon development pathways of Jiangsu Province are studied by the system dynamics model. Different strategy conditions are innovatively designed, and simulations of the scenarios are carried out.

Suggested Citation

  • Fanglin Li & Yingjie Zhang, 2024. "Simulation of Development Strategies and Evaluation of Low-Carbon Development Level in Jiangsu Province under Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-24, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:4:p:1597-:d:1338745
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/4/1597/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/4/1597/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. SHI, Punan & LUO, Mingcan, 2013. "The Construction of Evaluation Indicator System for Low-carbon Village and Practice Research in Yuanjiang County," Asian Agricultural Research, USA-China Science and Culture Media Corporation, vol. 5(12), pages 1-4, December.
    2. Kirchherr, Julian & Urban, Frauke, 2018. "Technology transfer and cooperation for low carbon energy technology: Analysing 30 years of scholarship and proposing a research agenda," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 600-609.
    3. Shu Zhang & Wenying Chen, 2022. "Assessing the energy transition in China towards carbon neutrality with a probabilistic framework," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    4. Tan, Sieting & Yang, Jin & Yan, Jinyue & Lee, Chewtin & Hashim, Haslenda & Chen, Bin, 2017. "A holistic low carbon city indicator framework for sustainable development," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 1919-1930.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Schlör, Holger & Venghaus, Sandra & Hake, Jürgen-Friedrich, 2018. "The FEW-Nexus city index – Measuring urban resilience," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 382-392.
    2. Yanxiao Jiang & Zhou Huang, 2024. "Impact of urban vitality on carbon emission—an analysis of 222 Chinese cities based on the spatial Durbin model," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    3. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Vinh Vo, Xuan, 2021. "How energy transition and power consumption are related in Asian economies with different income levels?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    4. Du, Xiaoyun & Meng, Conghui & Guo, Zhenhua & Yan, Hang, 2023. "An improved approach for measuring the efficiency of low carbon city practice in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    5. Lin, Boqiang & Zhu, Junpeng, 2019. "Impact of energy saving and emission reduction policy on urban sustainable development: Empirical evidence from China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 12-22.
    6. Zhang, Gaohang & Li, Fengting & Wang, Sen & Yin, Chunya, 2023. "Robust low-carbon energy and reserve scheduling considering operational risk and flexibility improvement," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    7. Guorong Chen & Changyan Liu, 2023. "Can Low–Carbon City Development Stimulate Population Growth? Insights from China’s Low–Carbon Pilot Program," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-22, October.
    8. Xian, Yujiao & Hu, Zhihui & Wang, Ke, 2023. "The least-cost abatement measure of carbon emissions for China's glass manufacturing industry based on the marginal abatement costs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    9. Hongtao Jiang & Jian Yin & Yuanhong Qiu & Bin Zhang & Yi Ding & Ruici Xia, 2022. "Industrial Carbon Emission Efficiency of Cities in the Pearl River Basin: Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Forces," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-22, July.
    10. Longyu Shi & Xueqin Xiang & Wei Zhu & Lijie Gao, 2018. "Standardization of the Evaluation Index System for Low-Carbon Cities in China: A Case Study of Xiamen," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-20, October.
    11. Lema, Rasmus & Bhamidipati, Padmasai Lakshmi & Gregersen, Cecilia & Hansen, Ulrich Elmer & Kirchherr, Julian, 2021. "China’s investments in renewable energy in Africa: Creating co-benefits or just cashing-in?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    12. Qi, Ye & Lu, Jiaqi & Liu, Tianle, 2024. "Measuring energy transition away from fossil fuels: A new index," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    13. Xiwen Fu & Shuxin Wang, 2022. "How to Promote Low-Carbon Cities with Blockchain Technology? A Blockchain-Based Low-Carbon Development Model for Chinese Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-17, October.
    14. Xing Zhang, 2018. "Short-Term Load Forecasting for Electric Bus Charging Stations Based on Fuzzy Clustering and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Wolf Pack Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-18, June.
    15. Rasool, Samma Faiz & Zaman, Shah & Jehan, Noor & Chin, Tachia & Khan, Saleem & Zaman, Qamar uz, 2022. "Investigating the role of the tech industry, renewable energy, and urbanization in sustainable environment: Policy directions in the context of developing economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    16. Kou, Xiaoxue & Wang, Ruzhu, 2023. "Thermodynamic analysis of electric to thermal heating pathways coupled with thermal energy storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    17. Shao, Tianming & Pan, Xunzhang & Li, Xiang & Zhou, Sheng & Zhang, Shu & Chen, Wenying, 2022. "China's industrial decarbonization in the context of carbon neutrality: A sub-sectoral analysis based on integrated modelling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    18. Wang, Hao-ran & Feng, Tian-tian & Zhong, Cheng, 2023. "Effectiveness of CO2 cost pass-through to electricity prices under “electricity-carbon” market coupling in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    19. Yan, Kun & Gao, Hanbo & Liu, Rui & Lyu, Yizheng & Wan, Mei & Tian, Jinping & Chen, Lyujun, 2024. "Review on low-carbon development in Chinese industrial parks driven by bioeconomy strategies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    20. Francesco Pinna & Valeria Saiu, 2021. "Greenways as Integrated Systems: A Proposal for Planning and Design Guidelines Based on Case Studies Evaluation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-17, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:4:p:1597-:d:1338745. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.