IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i21p14297-d960481.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial Heterogeneity of the Recovery of Road Traffic Volume from the Impact of COVID-19: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Jun Zhang

    (School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

  • Shenghao Zhao

    (School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

  • Chaonan Peng

    (School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

  • Xianming Gong

    (School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

Abstract

The impact of COVID-19 on traffic volume makes it essential to study the spatial heterogeneity and impact mechanisms of the recovery of road traffic volume to promote the sustainability of related industries. As the research method, this study used a principal component analysis to evaluate the recovery of road traffic volume in China quantitatively, and further conducted an empirical study using a spatial autocorrelation index and a dynamic spatial panel model. The results show that income has a negative impact on the recovery of road traffic volume, while climate suitability has a positive impact. Economic development and COVID-19 can play moderating and mediating effects, respectively. From the aspect of spatial heterogeneity, the recovery of road traffic volume has a positive spatial spillover effect on the surrounding provinces, while the spread of COVID-19 has a negative short-term indirect spatial spillover effect. Corresponding practical insights are provided for the stakeholders based on the above findings. The results of this study will contribute to the development of effective policies to facilitate the recovery of road traffic volume from the impact of COVID-19 and the revitalization of the transportation industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun Zhang & Shenghao Zhao & Chaonan Peng & Xianming Gong, 2022. "Spatial Heterogeneity of the Recovery of Road Traffic Volume from the Impact of COVID-19: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:14297-:d:960481
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/14297/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/14297/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Subasish Das, 2021. "Traffic volume prediction on low-volume roadways: a Cubist approach," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 93-110, January.
    2. Xinbao Tian & Meirong Zhang, 2019. "Research on Spatial Correlations and Influencing Factors of Logistics Industry Development Level," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, March.
    3. Yawen Li & Yushan Yang & Guorong Luo & Jizhou Huang & Tian Wu, 2022. "The Economic Recovery from Traffic Restriction Policies during the COVID-19 through the Perspective of Regional Differences and Sustainable Development: Based on Human Mobility Data in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-23, May.
    4. Zhuoyue Zhu & Hongming Xie, 2022. "What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know about COVID-19’s Implications on Business Economics? From Bibliometric Analysis to a Conceptual Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-16, May.
    5. Carlos Oliveira Cruz & Joaquim Miranda Sarmento, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Highway Traffic and Management: The Case Study of an Operator Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-12, May.
    6. José Antonio Donaire & Núria Galí & Raquel Camprubi, 2021. "Empty Summer: International Tourist Behavior in Spain during COVID-19," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-14, April.
    7. Kun Lv & Shurong Yu & Dian Fu & Jingwen Wang & Chencheng Wang & Junbai Pan, 2022. "The Impact of Financial Development and Green Finance on Regional Energy Intensity: New Evidence from 30 Chinese Provinces," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-29, July.
    8. Feng Li & Guangdong Li, 2018. "Agglomeration and Spatial Spillover Effects of Regional Economic Growth in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-13, December.
    9. Sreten Simović & Tijana Ivanišević & Bojana Bradić & Svetlana Čičević & Aleksandar Trifunović, 2021. "What Causes Changes in Passenger Behavior in South-East Europe during the COVID-19 Pandemic?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-11, July.
    10. Yongji Ma & Jinliang Xu & Chao Gao & Chenwei Gu & Xiaohui Tong, 2022. "The Limited Responses of Provincial Expressway Network Operation Quality to the Impact of COVID-19: Taking Shaanxi Province as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.
    11. Alfredo Aloi & Borja Alonso & Juan Benavente & Rubén Cordera & Eneko Echániz & Felipe González & Claudio Ladisa & Raquel Lezama-Romanelli & Álvaro López-Parra & Vittorio Mazzei & Lucía Perrucci & Darí, 2020. "Effects of the COVID-19 Lockdown on Urban Mobility: Empirical Evidence from the City of Santander (Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-18, May.
    12. Joao T. Aparicio & Elisabete Arsenio & Rui Henriques, 2021. "Understanding the Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Public Transportation Travel Patterns in the City of Lisbon," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-18, July.
    13. Arthur J. Lin & Hai-Yen Chang & Brian Hung, 2022. "Identifying Key Financial, Environmental, Social, Governance (ESG), Bond, and COVID-19 Factors Affecting Global Shipping Companies—A Hybrid Multiple-Criteria Decision-Making Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-29, April.
    14. Wu, Haitao & Xu, Lina & Ren, Siyu & Hao, Yu & Yan, Guoyao, 2020. "How do energy consumption and environmental regulation affect carbon emissions in China? New evidence from a dynamic threshold panel model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    15. Hector Monterde-i-Bort & Matus Sucha & Ralf Risser & Tatiana Kochetova, 2022. "Mobility Patterns and Mode Choice Preferences during the COVID-19 Situation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-13, January.
    16. Wang, Jiangbo & Yamamoto, Toshiyuki & Liu, Kai, 2021. "Spatial dependence and spillover effects in customized bus demand: Empirical evidence using spatial dynamic panel models," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 166-180.
    17. Li-Fan Wu & Jennet Achyldurdyyeva & Wei-Ping Jou & Wei-Ting Foung & Bih-Shiaw Jaw, 2021. "Relief, Recovery, and Revitalization Measures for Tourism and Hospitality Industry During Covid-19 Pandemic: Case Study From Taiwan," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
    18. Brian Nolan & Max Roser & Stefan Thewissen, 2019. "GDP Per Capita Versus Median Household Income: What Gives Rise to the Divergence Over Time and how does this Vary Across OECD Countries?," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 65(3), pages 465-494, September.
    19. Yongming Zhu & Xiaoyu Zhou & Junjie Li & Fan Wang, 2022. "Technological Innovation, Fiscal Decentralization, Green Development Efficiency: Based on Spatial Effect and Moderating Effect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, April.
    20. Kaida Chen & Hanliang Lin & Lingyun Liao & Yichen Lu & Yen-Jong Chen & Zehua Lin & Linxi Teng & Aifang Weng & Tianqi Fu, 2022. "Nonlinear Rail Accessibility and Road Spatial Pattern Effects on House Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-24, April.
    21. Debarsy, Nicolas & Ertur, Cem, 2010. "Testing for spatial autocorrelation in a fixed effects panel data model," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 453-470, November.
    22. Nadežda Jankelová & Zuzana Skorková & Zuzana Joniaková & Ildikó Némethová, 2021. "A Diverse Organizational Culture and Its Impact on Innovative Work Behavior of Municipal Employees," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-16, March.
    23. Farrukh Baig & Konstantinos Kirytopoulos & Jaeyoung Lee & Evangelos Tsamilis & Ruizhi Mao & Panagiotis Ntzeremes, 2022. "Changes in People’s Mobility Behavior in Greece after the COVID-19 Outbreak," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-22, March.
    24. Bivand, Roger & Piras, Gianfranco, 2015. "Comparing Implementations of Estimation Methods for Spatial Econometrics," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 63(i18).
    25. Olivier Parent & James P. LeSage, 2008. "Using the variance structure of the conditional autoregressive spatial specification to model knowledge spillovers," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 235-256.
    26. Fang Wang & Fangqu Niu, 2021. "Understanding the Spread of COVID-19 in China: Spatial–Temporal Characteristics, Risk Analysis and the Impact of the Quarantine of Hubei Province on the Railway Transportation Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, May.
    27. Zhang, Xinyu & Yu, Jihai, 2018. "Spatial weights matrix selection and model averaging for spatial autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 1-18.
    28. Yang, Kai & Lee, Lung-fei, 2019. "Identification and estimation of spatial dynamic panel simultaneous equations models," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 32-46.
    29. Valdes, Victor, 2015. "Determinants of air travel demand in Middle Income Countries," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 75-84.
    30. Cui, Qi & He, Ling & Liu, Yu & Zheng, Yanting & Wei, Wei & Yang, Bo & Zhou, Meifang, 2021. "The impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on China’s transport sectors based on the CGE model coupled with a decomposition analysis approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 103-115.
    31. Jucheol Moon & Jin Gi Hong & Tae-Won Park, 2022. "A Novel Method for Traffic Estimation and Air Quality Assessment in California," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-12, July.
    32. Sang Won Choi & Brian H. S. Kim, 2021. "Applying PCA to Deep Learning Forecasting Models for Predicting PM 2.5," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-30, March.
    33. Dong-Gyun Ku & Jung-Sik Um & Young-Ji Byon & Joo-Young Kim & Seung-Jae Lee, 2021. "Changes in Passengers’ Travel Behavior Due to COVID-19," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-16, July.
    34. Maparu, Tuhin Subhra & Mazumder, Tarak Nath, 2017. "Transport infrastructure, economic development and urbanization in India (1990–2011): Is there any causal relationship?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 319-336.
    35. Daniel Graham & Stephen Glaister, 2005. "Decomposing the determinants of road traffic demand," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 19-28.
    36. Shurui Zhang & Shuo Wang & Lingran Yuan & Xiaoguang Liu & Binlei Gong, 2020. "The impact of epidemics on agricultural production and forecast of COVID-19," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(3), pages 409-425, July.
    37. Shraddha Praharaj & T. Donna Chen & Faria T. Zahura & Madhur Behl & Jonathan L. Goodall, 2021. "Estimating impacts of recurring flooding on roadway networks: a Norfolk, Virginia case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2363-2387, July.
    38. Andribet, Pierre & Baumgartner, Marc & Garot, Jean-Marc, 2022. "Reinventing European air traffic control based on the covid-19 pandemic experience," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    39. Isaac Oyeyemi Olayode & Alessandro Gaetano Severino & Tiziana Campisi & Lagouge Kwanda Tartibu, 2022. "Comprehensive Literature Review on the Impacts of COVID-19 Pandemic on Public Road Transportation System: Challenges and Solutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-23, August.
    40. Badi H. Baltagi & Long Liu, 2016. "Random Effects, Fixed Effects and Hausman's Test for the Generalized Mixed Regressive Spatial Autoregressive Panel Data Model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 638-658, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xue Zhang & Yi Lu & Jie Wang & Donghui Yuan & Xianwen Huang, 2023. "Quantifying Road Transport Resilience to Emergencies: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-22, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Štefancová Vladimíra & Mašek Jaroslav & Harantová Veronika & Mazanec Jaroslav & Foltýnová Hana Brůhová, 2023. "Analysis of Passenger Behaviour During the Covid-19 Pandemic Situation," LOGI – Scientific Journal on Transport and Logistics, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 203-214, January.
    2. Haiyan Liu & Jaeyoung Lee, 2023. "Contributing Factors to the Changes in Public and Private Transportation Mode Choice after the COVID-19 Outbreak in Urban Areas of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
    3. Jiafeng Gu, 2021. "Effects of Patent Policy on Outputs and Commercialization of Academic Patents in China: A Spatial Difference-in-Differences Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Gianfranco Piras, 2014. "Impact estimates for static spatial panel data models in R," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 213-223, October.
    5. Salesi, Vinolia Kilinaivoni & Kan Tsui, Wai Hong & Fu, Xiaowen & Gilbey, Andrew, 2022. "Strategies for South Pacific Region to address future pandemics: Implications for the aviation and tourism sectors based on a systematic literature review (2010–2021)," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 107-126.
    6. Roger Bivand & Giovanni Millo & Gianfranco Piras, 2021. "A Review of Software for Spatial Econometrics in R," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-40, June.
    7. Jieun Lee, 2022. "Testing Endogeneity of Spatial Weights Matrices in Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Models," Papers 2209.05563, arXiv.org.
    8. Xue Zhang & Yi Lu & Jie Wang & Donghui Yuan & Xianwen Huang, 2023. "Quantifying Road Transport Resilience to Emergencies: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-22, October.
    9. Giuseppe Arbia, 2011. "A Lustrum of SEA: Recent Research Trends Following the Creation of the Spatial Econometrics Association (2007--2011)," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(4), pages 377-395, July.
    10. Fang, Da & Guo, Yan, 2022. "Flow of goods to the shock of COVID-19 and toll-free highway policy: Evidence from logistics data in China," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    11. Zhao, Mingxuan & Lv, Lianhong & Wu, Jing & Wang, Shen & Zhang, Nan & Bai, Zihan & Luo, Hong, 2022. "Total factor productivity of high coal-consuming industries and provincial coal consumption: Based on the dynamic spatial Durbin model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    12. repec:rri:wpaper:201303 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Junhong Qu & Xiaoli Hao, 2022. "Digital Economy, Financial Development, and Energy Poverty Based on Mediating Effects and a Spatial Autocorrelation Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-24, July.
    14. Cem Ertur & Antonio Musolesi, 2017. "Weak and Strong Cross‐Sectional Dependence: A Panel Data Analysis of International Technology Diffusion," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 477-503, April.
    15. Eleftheria Kontou & Noreen McDonald, 2021. "Associating ridesourcing with road safety outcomes: Insights from Austin, Texas," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-18, March.
    16. Yong Bao & Xiaotian Liu & Lihong Yang, 2020. "Indirect Inference Estimation of Spatial Autoregressions," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, September.
    17. Alvaredo, Facundo & Bourguignon, François & Ferreira, Francisco H. G. & Lustig, Nora, 2023. "Seventy-five years of measuring income inequality in Latin America," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120557, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Veronika Harantová & Ambróz Hájnik & Alica Kalašová & Tomasz Figlus, 2022. "The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Traffic Flow Characteristics, Emissions Production and Fuel Consumption at a Selected Intersection in Slovakia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
    19. Guohuan Su & Adam Mertel & Sébastien Brosse & Justin M. Calabrese, 2023. "Species invasiveness and community invasibility of North American freshwater fish fauna revealed via trait-based analysis," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Zheng, Xinye & Li, Fanghua & Song, Shunfeng & Yu, Yihua, 2013. "Central government's infrastructure investment across Chinese regions: A dynamic spatial panel data approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 264-276.
    21. Maria Lucia Parrella & Giuseppina Albano & Cira Perna & Michele La Rocca, 2021. "Bootstrap joint prediction regions for sequences of missing values in spatio-temporal datasets," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(4), pages 2917-2938, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:14297-:d:960481. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.