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Analysis of Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining in Peru under Climate Impacts Using System Dynamics Modeling

Author

Listed:
  • Fatih Aranoglu

    (Department of Mining Engineering, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO 80401, USA)

  • Tulay Flamand

    (Department of Economics and Business, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO 80401, USA)

  • Sebnem Duzgun

    (Department of Mining Engineering, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO 80401, USA)

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a system dynamics (SD) model to examine the dynamics of an informal artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM) supply chain that has interactions with the illegal gold supply chain in the Amazon rainforest region, Madre de Dios (MdD), Peru. In order to examine the system under climate impacts and validate the model, we run it under a flood scenario, which is one of the main climate impacts that causes disruption in mining activities. Our findings suggest that the dynamics of informal mines are highly affected by the illegal mercury supply, fuel supply, and availability of workers. In addition, the model under the flood scenario suggests that any external variable that could directly affect fuel and mercury supply would result in a disruption of informal and illegal gold production.

Suggested Citation

  • Fatih Aranoglu & Tulay Flamand & Sebnem Duzgun, 2022. "Analysis of Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining in Peru under Climate Impacts Using System Dynamics Modeling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-21, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:12:p:7390-:d:840686
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. World Bank, 2019. "The World Bank Annual Report 2019 [Rapport annuel 2019 de la Banque mondiale]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 32333, December.
    2. Thomas, Maxim J. & Veiga, Marcello M. & Marshall, Bruce G. & Dunbar, W. Scott, 2019. "Artisanal gold supply chain: Measures from the Ecuadorian Government," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Fernando Fernandez-F & Patricia Lopez-C & Camilo Febres-Molina & Pamela L. Gamero-Begazo & Badhin Gómez & Julio Cesar Bernabe-Ortiz & Alberto Cáceres-Huambo & Jorge Alberto Aguilar-Pineda, 2022. "Identification and Characterization of Peruvian Native Bacterial Strains as Bioremediation of Hg-Polluted Water and Soils Due to Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining in the Secocha Annex, Arequipa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-13, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Patricia López-Casaperalta & Camilo Febres-Molina & Jorge Alberto Aguilar-Pineda & Julio Cesar Bernabe-Ortiz & Fernando Fernandez-F, 2022. "Peruvian Native Bacterial Strains as Potential Bioremediation Agents in Hg-Polluted Soils by Artisanal Mining Activities in Southern Peru," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-17, August.

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