How to Gain Confidence in the Results of Internal Risk Models? Approaches and Techniques for Validation
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Valeria Bignozzi & Andreas Tsanakas, 2016. "Parameter Uncertainty and Residual Estimation Risk," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 83(4), pages 949-978, December.
- Mack, Thomas, 1993. "Distribution-free Calculation of the Standard Error of Chain Ladder Reserve Estimates," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 213-225, November.
- Busse, Marc & Müller, Ulrich & Dacorogna, Michel, 2010. "Robust Estimation of Reserve Risk," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(2), pages 453-489, November.
- Jean-Philippe Bruneton, 2011. "Copula-based Hierarchical Aggregation of Correlated Risks. The behaviour of the diversification benefit in Gaussian and Lognormal Trees," Papers 1111.1113, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2011.
- Dacorogna, Michel & Elbahtouri, Laila & Kratz, Marie, 2018. "Validation of aggregated risks models," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 433-454, September.
- Fröhlich, Andreas & Weng, Annegret, 2018. "Parameter uncertainty and reserve risk under Solvency II," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 130-141.
- Kratz, Marie & Lok, Yen H. & McNeil, Alexander J., 2018.
"Multinomial VaR backtests: A simple implicit approach to backtesting expected shortfall,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 393-407.
- Marie Kratz & Yen H. Lok & Alexander J McNeil, 2016. "Multinomial VaR Backtests: A simple implicit approach to backtesting expected shortfall," Papers 1611.04851, arXiv.org.
- Meese, Richard A. & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1983. "Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies : Do they fit out of sample?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1-2), pages 3-24, February.
- Arbenz, Philipp & Canestraro, Davide, 2012. "Estimating Copulas for Insurance from Scarce Observations, Expert Opinion and Prior Information: A Bayesian Approach," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(1), pages 271-290, May.
- Michel Dacorogna & Alessandro Ferriero & David Krief, 2018. "One-Year Change Methodologies for Fixed-Sum Insurance Contracts," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-29, July.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Dacorogna, Michel M, 2017. "Approaches and Techniques to Validate Internal Model Results," MPRA Paper 79632, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Michel Dacorogna & Alessandro Ferriero & David Krief, 2018. "One-Year Change Methodologies for Fixed-Sum Insurance Contracts," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-29, July.
- Pitselis, Georgios & Grigoriadou, Vasiliki & Badounas, Ioannis, 2015. "Robust loss reserving in a log-linear model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 14-27.
- Soren Bettels & Sojung Kim & Stefan Weber, 2022. "Multinomial Backtesting of Distortion Risk Measures," Papers 2201.06319, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Fröhlich, Andreas & Weng, Annegret, 2018. "Parameter uncertainty and reserve risk under Solvency II," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 130-141.
- Carnevale Giulio Ercole & Clemente Gian Paolo, 2020. "A Bayesian Internal Model for Reserve Risk: An Extension of the Correlated Chain Ladder," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-20, November.
- Stefan Mittnik & Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "The Micro Dynamics of Macro Announcements," CESifo Working Paper Series 4421, CESifo.
- Lucio Sarno & Giorgio Valente, 2009.
"Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Footloose or Evolving Relationship?,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(4), pages 786-830, June.
- Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2008. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Footloose or Evolving Relationship?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6638, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kelly Burns & Imad Moosa, 2017. "Demystifying the Meese–Rogoff puzzle: structural breaks or measures of forecasting accuracy?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(48), pages 4897-4910, October.
- Menzies Gordon Douglas & Zizzo Daniel John, 2009.
"Inferential Expectations,"
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
- Gordon  Menzies & Daniel John Zizzo, 2004. "Inferential Expectations," Economics Series Working Papers 187, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Gordon Menzies & Daniel John Zizzo, 2005. "Inferential Expectations," Research Paper Series 159, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Gordon D. Menzies & Daniel John Zizzo, 2005. "Inferential Expectations," CAMA Working Papers 2005-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gürkaynak, Refet S. & Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin & Lee, Sang Seok, 2022.
"Exchange rate and inflation under weak monetary policy: Turkey verifies theory,"
CFS Working Paper Series
679, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Refet S. Gürkaynak & Burcin Kisacikoglu & Sang Seok Lee, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Inflation under Weak Monetary Policy: Turkey Verifies Theory," CESifo Working Paper Series 9748, CESifo.
- Lee, Sang Seok & Gürkaynak, Refet & Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Inflation under Weak Monetary Policy: Turkey Verifies Theory," CEPR Discussion Papers 17248, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Coudert, Virginie & Mignon, Valérie, 2013.
"The “forward premium puzzle” and the sovereign default risk,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 491-511.
- Virginie Coudert & Valérie Mignon, 2011. "The “Forward Premium Puzzle” and the Sovereign Default Risk," Working Papers 2011-17, CEPII research center.
- Virginie Coudert & Valérie Mignon, 2013. "The ‘Forward Premium Puzzle’ and the Sovereign Default risk," Post-Print hal-01385839, HAL.
- Agnès Bénassy‐Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Horst Raff, 2011.
"Exchange‐rate Misalignments in Duopoly: The Case of Airbus and Boeing,"
The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 623-641, April.
- Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès & Fontagné, Lionel & Raff, Horst, 2009. "Exchange-rate misalignments in duopoly: the case of Airbus and Boeing," Kiel Working Papers 1488, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Horst Raff, 2011. "Exchange-rate Misalignments in Duopoly: The Case of Airbus and Boeing," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00603386, HAL.
- Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Horst Raff, 2011. "Exchange-rate Misalignments in Duopoly: The Case of Airbus and Boeing," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00603386, HAL.
- Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Horst Raff, 2009. "Exchange-Rate Misalignments in Duopoly: the Case of Airbus and Boeing," Working Papers 2009-10, CEPII research center.
- Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Horst Raff, 2011. "Exchange-rate Misalignments in Duopoly: The Case of Airbus and Boeing," Post-Print hal-00603386, HAL.
- Rime, Dagfinn & Sarno, Lucio & Sojli, Elvira, 2010.
"Exchange rate forecasting, order flow and macroeconomic information,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 72-88, January.
- Dagfinn Rime & Lucio Sarno & Elvira Sojli, 2007. "Exchange rate forecasting, order flow and macroeconomic information," Working Paper 2007/02, Norges Bank.
- Sarno, Lucio & Rime, Dagfinn & Sojli, Elvira, 2009. "Exchange Rate Forecasting, Order Flow and Macroeconomic Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 7225, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade: Evidence from financial crises," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-19.
- Lothian, James R., 1997. "Multi-country evidence on the behavior of purchasing power parity under the current float," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 19-35, February.
- Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Alberto Álvarez, 2002. "Predicción No-Lineal De Tipos De Cambio: Algoritmos Genéticos, Redes Neuronales Y Fusión De Datos," Working Papers 0205, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada.
- Carlo Altavilla & Paul De Grauwe, 2010.
"Forecasting and combining competing models of exchange rate determination,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(27), pages 3455-3480.
- Carlo Altavilla & Paul De Grauwe, 2006. "Forecasting and Combining Competing Models of Exchange rate Determination," Discussion Papers 5_2006, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
- Carlo Altavilla & Paul De Grauwe, 2006. "Forecasting and Combining Competing Models of Exchange Rate Determination," CESifo Working Paper Series 1747, CESifo.
- Alberto Fuertes & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2019. "“Forecasting emerging market currencies: Are inflation expectations useful?”," IREA Working Papers 201918, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2019.
- Hillebrand, Eric & Lukas, Manuel & Wei, Wei, 2021.
"Bagging weak predictors,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 237-254.
- Manuel Lukas & Eric Hillebrand, 2014. "Bagging Weak Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2014-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Eric Hillebrand & Manuel Lukas & Wei Wei, 2020. "Bagging Weak Predictors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 16/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
More about this item
Keywords
risk models; validation; calibration; stress tests; statistical tests; solvency;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:11:y:2023:i:5:p:98-:d:1150550. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.